Bate Borisov v Belshina

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Bate Borisov win at 53%.
2. 6′Much as we predicted: Bate Borisov was 53% before kick-off and our model makes it 52% now. 0–0 · 52–25–23
3. 10′🟨 YELLOW · 8' Daniil Lazarev · Belshina
4. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Bate Borisov win: 53% at kick-off, 43% now
5. 44′We said Bate Borisov at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 41%. 0–0 · 41–38–21
6. 44′7 shots for Bate Borisov, 1 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 41–38–21
7. 45′🟨 YELLOW · 43' Aik Musahagian · Bate Borisov
8. 45′HALF-TIME Bate Borisov 0–0 Belshina
9. 46′SECOND HALF Bate Borisov 0–0 Belshina
10. 48′Bate Borisov have had 8 attempts to 1 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 40–40–20
11. 49′We said Bate Borisov at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–41–20
12. 52′THE CALL SWINGS · 52' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Bate Borisov win 40%)
13. 55′We expected about 2.7 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 36–45–19
14. 58′We said Bate Borisov at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–47–18
15. 59′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Bate Borisov · On: Nikolay Bochko · Off: yaroslav khramtsevich
16. 59′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Bate Borisov · On: Egor Rusakov · Off: Victorien Angban
17. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Bate Borisov · On: Maksim Sakuta · Off: Aik Musahagian
18. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 60' Bate Borisov win: 53% at kick-off, 33% now
19. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Belshina · On: Vladislav Solanovich · Off: luka zgurskiy
20. 66′We said Bate Borisov at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–55–16
21. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Belshina · On: alexander shvedchikov · Off: Daniil Lazarev
22. 72′We said Bate Borisov at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–63–13
23. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Bate Borisov · On: vladislav yatskevich · Off: erick puerto
24. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Bate Borisov win: 53% at kick-off, 23% now
25. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Belshina · On: V Kovalev · Off: Nikita Golub
26. 80′We said Bate Borisov at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 15%. 0–0 · 15–76–9
27. 82′We said Bate Borisov at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 0–0 · 13–80–7
28. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Bate Borisov win: 53% at kick-off, 13% now
29. 83′A red card for Bate Borisov on 81′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–0 · 11–82–7
30. 83′87′: Arseni Achapovskiy on the scoresheet for Belshina. 0–0 · 11–82–7
31. 83′We said Bate Borisov at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 1%. 0–1 · 1–11–89
32. 83′🟥 RED CARD · 81' Nikita Neskoromny · Bate Borisov
33. 83′⚽ GOAL · 87' Bate Borisov 0–1 Belshina · Arseni Achapovskiy
34. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Bate Borisov win: 53% at kick-off, 1% now
35. 83′THE CALL SWINGS · 83' Belshina win is now our likeliest result at 89% (was Draw 82%)
36. 84′🟨 YELLOW · 82' V Kovalev · Belshina
37. 85′We said Bate Borisov at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–86–5
38. 85′🟨 YELLOW · 83' Ilya Vikhrov · Belshina
39. FTFULL TIME Bate Borisov 0–1 Belshina
40. FTBate Borisov 0–1 Belshina · Bate Borisov win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.