Home › Football › Premier League › Baranovichi v FC Vitebsk
Back

Baranovichi v FC Vitebsk
Baranovichi
FC VitebskPremier League · SAT 17 OCT · Lokomotiv Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said FC Vitebsk win at 44%.
- 2′Little has changed for our model: FC Vitebsk 44% before kick-off, 43% now. 0–0 · 29–27–43
- 2′KICK-OFF Baranovichi v FC Vitebsk
- 36′🟨 YELLOW · 34' Baranovichi
- 41′THE CALL SWINGS · 41' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was FC Vitebsk win 35%)
- 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' FC Vitebsk win: 44% at kick-off, 34% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Baranovichi 0–0 FC Vitebsk
- 48′SECOND HALF Baranovichi 0–0 FC Vitebsk
- 49′We said FC Vitebsk at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 32%. 0–0 · 23–44–32
- 51′Mikhail Bashilov scores for FC Vitebsk on 49′. 0–0 · 23–46–31
- 52′We said FC Vitebsk at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 77%. 0–1 · 5–18–77
- 52′⚽ GOAL · 49' Baranovichi 0–1 FC Vitebsk · Mikhail Bashilov (assist Yevhen Protasov)
- 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 52' FC Vitebsk win: 44% at kick-off, 77% now
- 52′THE CALL SWINGS · 52' FC Vitebsk win is now our likeliest result at 77% (was Draw 18%)
- 53′The goal count is tracking the 2.4 we expected. 0–1 · 4–18–78
- 59′We said FC Vitebsk at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 0–1 · 3–17–80
- 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Baranovichi · On: Vadim Balbukh · Off: Zakhar Gitselev
- 64′SUBSTITUTION · 65' FC Vitebsk · On: vlad anikeev · Off: Roman Minaev
- 65′SUBSTITUTION · 65' FC Vitebsk · On: Zakhar Chervyakov · Off: Daniil Pesnyak
- 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 69' FC Vitebsk win: 44% at kick-off, 84% now
- 71′We said FC Vitebsk at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 0–1 · 2–14–85
- 79′We said FC Vitebsk at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 0–1 · 1–10–90
- 80′SUBSTITUTION · 72' FC Vitebsk · On: Marin Zgomba · Off: Artem Gurenko
- 80′SUBSTITUTION · 72' FC Vitebsk · On: Sergey Tikhonovskiy · Off: Roman·Lisovsky
- 80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Baranovichi · On: Timofey Tkachev · Off: Vasili Vasilenko
- 80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Baranovichi · On: Alibi Tuzakbayev · Off: Yegor Lapun
- 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' FC Vitebsk · On: Gleb minkevich · Off: Evgeniy Novykh
- 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 84' FC Vitebsk win: 44% at kick-off, 94% now
- 84′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Baranovichi · On: Semen Penchuk · Off: E. Torekul
- 84′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Baranovichi · On: Mikhail Bondarenko · Off: Valeriy·Potorocha
- 86′We said FC Vitebsk at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 0–1 · 0–5–95
- 90′🟨 YELLOW · 90+1' Artem Bruy · Baranovichi
- FTFULL TIME Baranovichi 0–1 FC Vitebsk
- FTBaranovichi 0–1 FC Vitebsk · FC Vitebsk win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassFC Vitebsk are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Baranovichi 29%, draw 27%, FC Vitebsk 44%. Over 2.5 goals 42%, both teams to score 47%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Baranovichi win29%
FC Vitebsk win44%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:00
RoundMatchday 25
VenueLokomotiv Stadium
Match timeline
All events
BaranovichiMIN
FC VitebskEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Baranovichi
4-2-3-1
FC Vitebsk
4-4-2
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Baranovichi
FC Vitebsk
Last match: 10 Oct · Premier League (Belarus)
Last match: 11 Oct · Premier League (Belarus)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Baranovichi
4-2-3-1
12 D. Shapko
11 N. Ryabykh
19 A. Bruy
33 Kirill Muzychenko
23 V. Vasilenko
9 E. Lapun
88 Z. Gitselev
96 V. Potorocha
10 F. Lebedev
77 M. Artyukh
45 Ersultan Torekul
Coach · –
Substitutes
8 · V. Balbukh
22 · M. Bondarenko
93 · A. Dresmanis
5 · V. Fedotov
4 · V. Karpenya
29 · S. Penchuk
34 · A. Petrenko
7 · T. Pukhov
97 · T. Tkachev
6 · Alibi Tuzakbaev
FC Vitebsk
4-4-2
50 N. Goylo
17 E. Novykh
15 M. Kuntsevich
6 K. Rodionov
22 S. Egorov
11 A. Gurenko
88 E. Frazzoni
30 Mikhail Bashilov
10 Y. Protasov
77 R. Minaev
7 R. Lisovskiy
Coach · S. Gurenko
Substitutes
86 · M. Žgomba
26 · S. Tikhonovskiy
66 · A. Radin
1 · I. Novichkov
67 · G. Minkevich
24 · Ivan Kravchenko
20 · E. Krasnov
14 · Z. Chervyakov
8 · A. Anufriev
18 · V. Anikeev
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Baranovichi
4-2-3-1
12 D. Shapko
11 N. Ryabykh
19 A. Bruy
33 Kirill Muzychenko
23 V. Vasilenko
9 E. Lapun
88 Z. Gitselev
96 V. Potorocha
10 F. Lebedev
77 M. Artyukh
45 Ersultan Torekul
Coach · –
Substitutes
8 · V. Balbukh
22 · M. Bondarenko
93 · A. Dresmanis
5 · V. Fedotov
4 · V. Karpenya
29 · S. Penchuk
34 · A. Petrenko
7 · T. Pukhov
97 · T. Tkachev
6 · Alibi Tuzakbaev
FC Vitebsk
4-4-2
50 N. Goylo
17 E. Novykh
15 M. Kuntsevich
6 K. Rodionov
22 S. Egorov
11 A. Gurenko
88 E. Frazzoni
30 Mikhail Bashilov
10 Y. Protasov
77 R. Minaev
7 R. Lisovskiy
Coach · S. Gurenko
Substitutes
86 · M. Žgomba
26 · S. Tikhonovskiy
66 · A. Radin
1 · I. Novichkov
67 · G. Minkevich
24 · Ivan Kravchenko
20 · E. Krasnov
14 · Z. Chervyakov
8 · A. Anufriev
18 · V. Anikeev
We make FC Vitebsk a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–1.3, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baranovichi win | 29% | – | – |
| Draw | 27% | – | – |
| FC Vitebsk win | 44% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 47% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% | – | – |
| Baranovichi or draw | 56% | – | – |
| Baranovichi clean sheet | 27% | – | – |
| FC Vitebsk clean sheet | 36% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
3 meetings since 2021Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Premier League this season · since 21 Aug
BARANOVICHI
FC VITEBSK
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ML Vitebsk | 23 | +31 | 50 |
| 2 | Dinamo Minsk | 23 | +24 | 49 |
| 3 | FC Isloch Minsk R. | 23 | +19 | 46 |
| 4 | Neman | 24 | +11 | 43 |
| 5 | Dinamo Brest | 24 | +16 | 43 |
| 6 | FC Gomel | 24 | +11 | 39 |
| 7 | FC Vitebsk | 24 | +7 | 37 |
| 8 | FC Minsk | 24 | +1 | 34 |
| 9 | Torpedo Zhodino | 24 | −2 | 30 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 24 | −6 | 25 |
| 11 | Baranovichi | 24 | −17 | 25 |
| 12 | Arsenal | 24 | −18 | 23 |
| 13 | Bate Borisov | 24 | −12 | 21 |
| 14 | Belshina | 23 | −17 | 21 |
| 15 | Naftan | 24 | −31 | 17 |
| 16 | FC Dnepr Mogilev | 24 | −17 | 16 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
ML Vitebsk
Dinamo Minsk
FC Isloch Minsk R.
Neman
Dinamo Brest
FC Gomel
FC Minsk
Torpedo Zhodino
Slavia Mozyr
Arsenal
Bate Borisov
Belshina
Naftan
FC Dnepr Mogilev