Slonim v FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk prediction · 1. Division

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

SlonimDrawFC Energetik-Bgu Minsk

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 10:30

Before kick-off · Match result · FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk 48%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Slonim 28%, draw 24%, FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk 48%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Slonim v FC Energetik-Bgu MinskBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Slonim win28%

Draw24%

FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk win48%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 10:30

RoundMatchday 31

VenueYunost Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Slonim

FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk

7Days since last match14

Last match: 24 Oct · 1. Division (Belarus)

Last match: 17 Oct · 1. Division (Belarus)

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk	29	+26	56
5	Slonim	30	+18	53

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fc energetik-bgu minsk winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

48% The market–

Us48%

We make FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Slonim v FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk~~1.29 – 1.75

~~Form · last six in 1. Division this season · since 12 Sept~~W4 D1 L1 · W4 D0 L2

~~Table places · points 53 v 56~~5 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Slonim win	28%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk win	48%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	58%	–	–
Both teams to score	59%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	80%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	36%	–	–
Slonim or draw	52%	–	–
Slonim clean sheet	18%	–	–
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk clean sheet	28%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.9%

0123450 5.4 8.2 7.3 4.3 1 6.0 10.9 9.1 5.3 2.4 2 4.0 6.8 5.8 3.4 3 3.0 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Slonim down, FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk across0–5 goals a side shown (98.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,501 1. Division matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1. Division matches have gone over 2.5 in 62.9% of games this season, across 264 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2021 in every competition we cover, 6.00 goals a meeting; 3 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Slonim at home: 1.50 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk away: 1.50 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.29 goals for Slonim, 1.75 for FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~6.00

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 3

~~Both scored~~2 of 3

~~Last meetings~~FCE 4–3 SLO · FCE 6–0 SLO · SLO 2–3 FCE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1. Division this season · since 12 Sept

SLONIM

WWDWWL1–0 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 2–0 · 0–2

FC ENERGETIK-BGU MINSK

LWWWWL0–2 · 3–1 · 5–1 · 3–0 · 5–1 · 0–3

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	FC Slutsk	30	+32	66
2	Lida	30	+11	63
3	Niva	29	+41	61
4	FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk	29	+26	56
5	Slonim	30	+18	53
6	Shakhter Soligorsk	30	+14	47
7	Molodechno-DYuSSh 4	29	−2	45
8	Bumprom	30	+6	41
9	Ostrovets FC	30	−1	39
10	Smorgon	30	−4	39
11	Volna	30	−11	38
12	Dinamo Minsk II	27	+1	35
13	Minsk II	30	−16	33
14	Orsha	30	−21	30
15	Uni Minsk	28	−8	29
16	Osipovichy	29	−37	23
17	BATE II	28	−26	22
18	Gomel II	29	−23	21