Home › Football › 1. Division › Shakhter Soligorsk v Smorgon
Back

Shakhter Soligorsk v Smorgon
Shakhter Soligorsk
Smorgon1. Division · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Shakhter Soligorsk win at 41%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Shakhter Soligorsk 41% before kick-off, 41% now. 0–0 · 41–26–33
- 1′KICK-OFF Shakhter Soligorsk v Smorgon
- 18′🟨 YELLOW · 18' Shakhter Soligorsk
- 20′Shakhter Soligorsk score on 20′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 68–19–12
- 20′We said Shakhter Soligorsk at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 68%. 1–0 · 68–19–12
- 20′⚽ GOAL · 20' Shakhter Soligorsk 1–0 Smorgon
- 20′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 20' Shakhter Soligorsk win: 41% at kick-off, 68% now
- 23′19′: Y. Bara on the scoresheet for Shakhter Soligorsk, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 69–20–12
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.8 we expected. 1–0 · 69–20–11
- 31′We said Shakhter Soligorsk at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 1–0 · 70–20–10
- 32′🟨 YELLOW · 31' Shakhter Soligorsk
- 33′🟨 YELLOW · 33' Shakhter Soligorsk
- 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 38' Shakhter Soligorsk win: 41% at kick-off, 71% now
- 39′🟨 YELLOW · 38' Shakhter Soligorsk
- 45′HALF-TIME Shakhter Soligorsk 1–0 Smorgon
- 46′🟨 YELLOW · 45' Shakhter Soligorsk
- 46′SECOND HALF Shakhter Soligorsk 1–0 Smorgon
- 47′🟨 YELLOW · 45+2' Smorgon
- 55′We said Shakhter Soligorsk at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–20–6
- 57′Shakhter Soligorsk find the net on 57′. 2–0. 2–0 · 95–5–1
- 57′⚽ GOAL · 57' Shakhter Soligorsk 2–0 Smorgon
- 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 57' Shakhter Soligorsk win: 41% at kick-off, 95% now
- 58′We said Shakhter Soligorsk at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
- 60′Shakhter Soligorsk ahead on 56′ through Y. Bara. 2–0. 2–0 · 95–4–1
- 64′A goal for Shakhter Soligorsk on 64′ — 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- 64′We said Shakhter Soligorsk at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- 64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Shakhter Soligorsk 3–0 Smorgon
- 65′3 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- 66′N. Shaula scores for Shakhter Soligorsk on 63′ — 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- 70′Shakhter Soligorsk score on 70′ to make it 4–0. 4–0 · 100–0–0
- 70′⚽ GOAL · 70' Shakhter Soligorsk 4–0 Smorgon
- 71′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 4–0 · 100–0–0
- 74′69′: A. Kurbachev on the scoresheet for Shakhter Soligorsk, making it 4–0. 4–0 · 100–0–0
- FTFULL TIME Shakhter Soligorsk 4–0 Smorgon
- FTShakhter Soligorsk 4–0 Smorgon · Shakhter Soligorsk win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Shakhter Soligorsk are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Shakhter Soligorsk 41%, draw 26%, Smorgon 33%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 56%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Shakhter Soligorsk win41%
Smorgon win33%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 14:30
RoundMatchday 30
Match timeline
All events
Shakhter SoligorskMIN
SmorgonEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Shakhter Soligorsk
Smorgon
Last match: 17 Oct · 1. Division (Belarus)
Last match: 17 Oct · 1. Division (Belarus)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Shakhter Soligorsk a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shakhter Soligorsk win | 41% | – | – |
| Draw | 26% | – | – |
| Smorgon win | 33% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 56% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | – | – |
| Shakhter Soligorsk or draw | 67% | – | – |
| Shakhter Soligorsk clean sheet | 28% | – | – |
| Smorgon clean sheet | 23% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
7 meetings since 2021Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 1. Division this season · since 12 Sept
SHAKHTER SOLIGORSK
SMORGON
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Slutsk | 29 | +30 | 63 |
| 2 | Niva | 29 | +41 | 61 |
| 3 | Lida | 29 | +10 | 60 |
| 4 | FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk | 29 | +26 | 56 |
| 5 | Slonim | 29 | +20 | 53 |
| 6 | Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 | 28 | −1 | 45 |
| 7 | Shakhter Soligorsk | 29 | +10 | 44 |
| 8 | Bumprom | 29 | +8 | 41 |
| 9 | Smorgon | 29 | 0 | 39 |
| 10 | Ostrovets FC | 30 | −1 | 39 |
| 11 | Dinamo Minsk II | 27 | +1 | 35 |
| 12 | Volna | 29 | −13 | 35 |
| 13 | Minsk II | 29 | −12 | 33 |
| 14 | Uni Minsk | 28 | −8 | 29 |
| 15 | Orsha | 29 | −25 | 27 |
| 16 | Osipovichy | 29 | −37 | 23 |
| 17 | BATE II | 28 | −26 | 22 |
| 18 | Gomel II | 29 | −23 | 21 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
FC Slutsk
Niva
Lida
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
Slonim
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Bumprom
Ostrovets FC
Dinamo Minsk II
Volna
Minsk II
Uni Minsk
Orsha
Osipovichy
BATE II
Gomel II