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Ostrovets FC v Slonim

Ostrovets FC

1–2Full time

Slonim

1. Division · SAT 10 OCT · City Stadium

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 16:52

Ostrovets FC 1–2 Slonim OSTROVETS FC WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Ostrovets FC win~~44%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.735

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Ostrovets FC win44%

Draw25%

Slonim win31%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:00

Venue · City Stadium

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Ostrovets FC

Formation not confirmed

1 I. Frolov

4 D. Prudnik

7 I. Zaytsev

8 A. Davidovich

10 K. Goncharik

11 M. Boychenko

14 I. Mokshin

17 R. Medvedev

18 R. Davyskiba

19 E. Mikhey

44 G. Krivtsov

Coach · Ivan Migal

Substitutes

82 · V. Drozd

2 · D. Merkulov

9 · A. Fedosenko

13 · A. Snetkov

15 · T. Statkevich

20 · G. Zhernosek

21 · A. Kilyimanov

23 · A. Gonzhurov

81 · G. Skripnik

97 · D. Tsyk

Slonim

Formation not confirmed

44 A. Agapov

8 R. Mushulov

11 A. Starovoytov

12 I. Semin

14 M. Tkatsevich

20 A. Glotko

23 M. Klunok

24 V. Shcherbakov

34 T. Adamchik

88 N. Chuyko

99 M. Kalinchenko

Coach · Sergey Podretskiy

Substitutes

16 · D. Say

9 · S. Gomonov

10 · P. Alenchev

15 · V. Berg

17 · A. Sokol

18 · A. Zhukovskiy

55 · A. Chuyko

66 · K. Krutorozhkin

76 · D. Kutsko

77 · A. Bulychev

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Ostrovets FC

Formation not confirmed

1 I. Frolov

4 D. Prudnik

7 I. Zaytsev

8 A. Davidovich

10 K. Goncharik

11 M. Boychenko

14 I. Mokshin

17 R. Medvedev

18 R. Davyskiba

19 E. Mikhey

44 G. Krivtsov

Coach · Ivan Migal

Substitutes

82 · V. Drozd

2 · D. Merkulov

9 · A. Fedosenko

13 · A. Snetkov

15 · T. Statkevich

20 · G. Zhernosek

21 · A. Kilyimanov

23 · A. Gonzhurov

81 · G. Skripnik

97 · D. Tsyk

Slonim

Formation not confirmed

44 A. Agapov

8 R. Mushulov

11 A. Starovoytov

12 I. Semin

14 M. Tkatsevich

20 A. Glotko

23 M. Klunok

24 V. Shcherbakov

34 T. Adamchik

88 N. Chuyko

99 M. Kalinchenko

Coach · Sergey Podretskiy

Substitutes

16 · D. Say

9 · S. Gomonov

10 · P. Alenchev

15 · V. Berg

17 · A. Sokol

18 · A. Zhukovskiy

55 · A. Chuyko

66 · K. Krutorozhkin

76 · D. Kutsko

77 · A. Bulychev

Our number · ostrovets fc winPublished 10 Oct 16:37

44% The market–

Us44%

We make Ostrovets FC a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Ostrovets FC win	44%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Slonim win	31%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	55%	–	–
Both teams to score	57%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	78%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	33%	–	–
Ostrovets FC or draw	69%	–	–
Ostrovets FC clean sheet	28%	–	–
Slonim clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.7%

0123450 6.4 6.9 4.7 2.1 1 8.6 11.7 7.2 3.2 2 7.1 8.8 5.6 2.5 3 3.8 4.7 3.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Ostrovets FC down, Slonim across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,478 1. Division matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

1. Division matches have gone over 2.5 in 64.3% of games this season, across 241 played.

Head to head

9 previous meetings, 3.22 goals a meeting; 7 of 9 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Ostrovets FC at home: 1.67 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Slonim away: 2.17 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.59 goals for Ostrovets FC, 1.29 for Slonim. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

9 meetings since 2022

~~Goals a meeting~~3.22

~~Over 2.5~~7 of 9

~~Both scored~~4 of 9

~~Last meetings~~SLO 1–1 OST · OST 3–0 SLO · SLO 1–3 OST · SLO 2–1 OST

Form · last six in 1. Division

OSTROVETS FC

WWWLDD2–0 · 3–2 · 3–1 · 2–3 · 1–1 · 1–1

SLONIM

LWDWWD1–2 · 5–2 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 1–1

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	FC Slutsk	27	+28	57
2	Niva	27	+36	55
3	Lida	27	+8	54
4	FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk	27	+25	53
5	Slonim	27	+17	47
6	Molodechno-DYuSSh 4	26	+5	45
7	Bumprom	27	+11	41
8	Shakhter Soligorsk	27	+8	40
9	Dinamo Minsk II	25	+5	35
10	Ostrovets FC	27	−2	35
11	Volna	27	−10	34
12	Smorgon	27	−3	33
13	Minsk II	27	−13	30
14	Orsha	27	−23	27
15	Uni Minsk	26	−10	26
16	BATE II	27	−25	22
17	Gomel II	27	−19	21
18	Osipovichy	27	−38	19