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Orsha v Osipovichy
Orsha
Osipovichy1. Division · SAT 17 OCT · Central City Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Orsha win at 45%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Orsha was 45% before kick-off and our model makes it 45% now. 0–0 · 45–24–31
- 2′KICK-OFF Orsha v Osipovichy
- 38′A goal for Osipovichy on 38′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 15–24–61
- 38′⚽ GOAL · 38' Orsha 0–1 Osipovichy
- 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Orsha win: 45% at kick-off, 15% now
- 38′THE CALL SWINGS · 38' Osipovichy win is now our likeliest result at 61% (was Orsha win 15%)
- 39′We said Orsha at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 15%. 0–1 · 15–24–61
- 39′Goals are coming at about the 3.2 we expected. 0–1 · 15–24–61
- 40′GOAL DISALLOWED · 40' Osipovichy
- 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 40' Orsha win: 45% at kick-off, 38% now
- 40′THE CALL SWINGS · 40' Orsha win is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Osipovichy win 28%)
- 41′A goal for Osipovichy on 41′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 14–24–62
- 41′We said Orsha at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–24–62
- 41′⚽ GOAL · 41' Orsha 0–1 Osipovichy
- 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Orsha win: 45% at kick-off, 14% now
- 41′THE CALL SWINGS · 41' Osipovichy win is now our likeliest result at 62% (was Orsha win 14%)
- 43′🟨 YELLOW · 42' Osipovichy
- 45′HALF-TIME Orsha 0–1 Osipovichy
- 46′T. Kovardaev scores for Osipovichy on 40′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 13–24–63
- 47′🟨 YELLOW · 46' Orsha
- 47′SECOND HALF Orsha 0–1 Osipovichy
- 50′Orsha score on 50′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 35–38–26
- 50′🟨 YELLOW · 49' Osipovichy
- 50′⚽ GOAL · 50' Orsha 1–1 Osipovichy
- 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Orsha win: 45% at kick-off, 35% now
- 52′THE CALL SWINGS · 52' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Osipovichy win 26%)
- 55′Osipovichy find the net on 55′. 1–2. 1–2 · 10–24–67
- 55′⚽ GOAL · 55' Orsha 1–2 Osipovichy
- 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Orsha win: 45% at kick-off, 10% now
- 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Osipovichy win is now our likeliest result at 67% (was Draw 24%)
- 56′We said Orsha at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–2 · 9–24–67
- 57′A goal for Osipovichy on 57′ — 1–3. 1–3 · 2–7–91
- 57′⚽ GOAL · 57' Orsha 1–3 Osipovichy
- 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' Orsha win: 45% at kick-off, 2% now
- 58′We said Orsha at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 2%. 1–3 · 2–7–91
- 58′4 goals already, more than the 3.2 we expected for the whole match. 1–3 · 2–7–91
- 58′🟨 YELLOW · 58' Osipovichy
- 70′🟨 YELLOW · 70' Osipovichy
- 92′Orsha score on 90′ to make it 2–3. 2–3 · 0–4–96
- 92′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.2 across ninety minutes. 2–3 · 0–4–96
- 92′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Orsha 2–3 Osipovichy
- 93′🟨 YELLOW · 90+3' Orsha
- FTFULL TIME Orsha 2–3 Osipovichy
- FTOrsha 2–3 Osipovichy · Orsha win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassOrsha are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Orsha 45%, draw 24%, Osipovichy 31%. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 62%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Orsha win45%
Osipovichy win31%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:00
RoundMatchday 29
VenueCentral City Stadium
Match timeline
All events
OrshaMIN
OsipovichyEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Orsha
Osipovichy
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Orsha
Osipovichy
Last match: 11 Oct · 1. Division (Belarus)
Last match: 10 Oct · 1. Division (Belarus)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Orsha
Formation not confirmed
1 A. Volodkov
3 N. Bykov
7 N. Bobchenok
8 I. Berezun
9 D. Tikhomirov
10 A. Alexandrovich
11 D. Stain
13 D. Strebtsov
18 N. Volchenko
22 E. Kudinov
77 G. Zheleznikov
Coach · –
Substitutes
52 · R. Kravchenko
14 · A. Dambrovsky
19 · V. Kostyukovich
69 · S. Bulakhov
88 · D. Rudenok
98 · A. Romanov
Osipovichy
Formation not confirmed
33 E. Yaroshevich
2 D. Ssorin
6 G. Mishin
7 M. Azarov
8 I. Tishurov
11 T. Kovardaev
15 O. Petrovsky
19 A. Zimin
23 A. Kukhotskovolets
27 I. Alekseev
29 M. Vasilkevich
Coach · –
Substitutes
1 · M. Makarov
16 · R. Gurinovich
3 · V. Grekovich
9 · D. Kulikov
14 · T. Minets
17 · A. Emeljanov
18 · A. Khadzhiev
20 · D. Pyshnik
21 · E. Elezarenko
22 · A. Emeljanov
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Orsha
Formation not confirmed
1 A. Volodkov
3 N. Bykov
7 N. Bobchenok
8 I. Berezun
9 D. Tikhomirov
10 A. Alexandrovich
11 D. Stain
13 D. Strebtsov
18 N. Volchenko
22 E. Kudinov
77 G. Zheleznikov
Coach · –
Substitutes
52 · R. Kravchenko
14 · A. Dambrovsky
19 · V. Kostyukovich
69 · S. Bulakhov
88 · D. Rudenok
98 · A. Romanov
Osipovichy
Formation not confirmed
33 E. Yaroshevich
2 D. Ssorin
6 G. Mishin
7 M. Azarov
8 I. Tishurov
11 T. Kovardaev
15 O. Petrovsky
19 A. Zimin
23 A. Kukhotskovolets
27 I. Alekseev
29 M. Vasilkevich
Coach · –
Substitutes
1 · M. Makarov
16 · R. Gurinovich
3 · V. Grekovich
9 · D. Kulikov
14 · T. Minets
17 · A. Emeljanov
18 · A. Khadzhiev
20 · D. Pyshnik
21 · E. Elezarenko
22 · A. Emeljanov
We make Orsha a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orsha win | 45% | – | – |
| Draw | 24% | – | – |
| Osipovichy win | 31% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 62% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% | – | – |
| Orsha or draw | 69% | – | – |
| Orsha clean sheet | 25% | – | – |
| Osipovichy clean sheet | 18% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
7 meetings since 2021Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 1. Division this season · since 5 Sept
ORSHA
OSIPOVICHY
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Slutsk | 29 | +30 | 63 |
| 2 | Niva | 28 | +39 | 58 |
| 3 | Lida | 28 | +9 | 57 |
| 4 | FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk | 28 | +29 | 56 |
| 5 | Slonim | 28 | +18 | 50 |
| 6 | Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 | 27 | +1 | 45 |
| 7 | Shakhter Soligorsk | 28 | +10 | 43 |
| 8 | Bumprom | 28 | +9 | 41 |
| 9 | Smorgon | 28 | −1 | 36 |
| 10 | Dinamo Minsk II | 25 | +5 | 35 |
| 11 | Ostrovets FC | 28 | −3 | 35 |
| 12 | Volna | 28 | −10 | 35 |
| 13 | Minsk II | 28 | −15 | 30 |
| 14 | Orsha | 28 | −24 | 27 |
| 15 | Uni Minsk | 27 | −11 | 26 |
| 16 | BATE II | 28 | −26 | 22 |
| 17 | Gomel II | 28 | −22 | 21 |
| 18 | Osipovichy | 28 | −38 | 20 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
FC Slutsk
Niva
Lida
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
Slonim
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Shakhter Soligorsk
Bumprom
Smorgon
Dinamo Minsk II
Ostrovets FC
Volna
Minsk II
Uni Minsk
BATE II
Gomel II