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Niva v Gomel II

Niva
5–2Full time
Gomel II

1. Division · SAT 10 OCT · City Stadium

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 14:35
Niva 5–2 Gomel II NIVA WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT3–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Niva win79%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.070

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 17 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Niva win at 79%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Niva 79% before kick-off, 79% now. 0–0 · 79–12–9
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Niva v Gomel II
  4. 26′🟨 YELLOW · 26' Gomel II
  5. 31′⚽ GOAL · 31' Niva 0–1 Gomel II
  6. 34′⚽ GOAL · 34' Niva 1–1 Gomel II
  7. 43′Niva find the net on 42′. 2–1. 2–1 · 88–9–3
  8. 43′⚽ GOAL · 42' Niva 2–1 Gomel II
  9. 45′HALF-TIME Niva 2–1 Gomel II
  10. 47′SECOND HALF Niva 2–1 Gomel II
  11. 49′🟨 YELLOW · 48' Gomel II
  12. 49′🟨 YELLOW · 49' Gomel II
  13. 52′🟨 YELLOW · 51' Gomel II
  14. 56′⚽ GOAL · 56' Niva 3–1 Gomel II
  15. 71′V. Dybin scores for Niva on 55′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 99–1–0
  16. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 71' Niva win: 79% at kick-off, 99% now
  17. 72′⚽ GOAL · 72' Niva 3–2 Gomel II
  18. 79′🟥 RED CARD · 79' Gomel II
  19. 81′⚽ GOAL · 81' Niva 4–2 Gomel II
  20. 89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Niva 5–2 Gomel II
  21. 90′A goal for Niva on 89′ — 5–2. 5–2 · 100–0–0
  22. FTFULL TIME Niva 5–2 Gomel II
  23. FTNiva 5–2 Gomel II · Niva win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 3–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Niva win79%
Draw12%
Gomel II win9%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 12:00

Venue · City Stadium

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Niva

Formation not confirmed

12 N. Dovnar

7 D. Galuza

8 D. Sibilev

9 A. Kuratnik

10 V. Dybin

18 V. Shcherbo

21 N. Leshkevich

23 D. Fedortsov

29 P. Pampukha

41 A. Tkhagalegov

88 R. Kozel

Coach · –

Substitutes

35 · D. Kashtelyan

3 · M. Druchik

4 · V. Milyutin

15 · I. Monich

20 · A. Martysevich

47 · V. Skomarovskiy

62 · M. Gordeychuk

69 · E. Mashagin

77 · V. Shubovich

98 · A. Karpuk

Gomel II

Formation not confirmed

88 V. Voropaev

2 A. Bondarchuk

3 K. Lipnitskiy

8 P. Sergutko

11 N. Starostenko

15 A. Rakhmatov

17 S. Krivorot

20 R. Shapovalov

23 D. Emeljanov

72 D. Grishkov

77 N. Mayorov

Coach · –

Substitutes

87 · O. Kovalev

7 · E. Tishkov

10 · A. Semenov

22 · M. Glushko

27 · M. Drozdov

30 · E. Yudenko

33 · V. Nanaev

91 · D. Gegechkori

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Niva

Formation not confirmed

12 N. Dovnar

7 D. Galuza

8 D. Sibilev

9 A. Kuratnik

10 V. Dybin

18 V. Shcherbo

21 N. Leshkevich

23 D. Fedortsov

29 P. Pampukha

41 A. Tkhagalegov

88 R. Kozel

Coach · –

Substitutes

35 · D. Kashtelyan

3 · M. Druchik

4 · V. Milyutin

15 · I. Monich

20 · A. Martysevich

47 · V. Skomarovskiy

62 · M. Gordeychuk

69 · E. Mashagin

77 · V. Shubovich

98 · A. Karpuk

Gomel II

Formation not confirmed

88 V. Voropaev

2 A. Bondarchuk

3 K. Lipnitskiy

8 P. Sergutko

11 N. Starostenko

15 A. Rakhmatov

17 S. Krivorot

20 R. Shapovalov

23 D. Emeljanov

72 D. Grishkov

77 N. Mayorov

Coach · –

Substitutes

87 · O. Kovalev

7 · E. Tishkov

10 · A. Semenov

22 · M. Glushko

27 · M. Drozdov

30 · E. Yudenko

33 · V. Nanaev

91 · D. Gegechkori

Our number · niva winPublished 10 Oct 12:19
79% The market–
Us79%

We make Niva a 79% chance to win. The model expects 3.3–1.1, and 3–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Niva win79%––
Draw12%––
Gomel II win9%––
Over 2.5 goals80%––
Both teams to score62%––
Over 1.5 goals93%––
Over 3.5 goals62%––
Niva or draw91%––
Niva clean sheet35%––
Gomel II clean sheet4%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 3–1 at 7.7%
0123450 1 4.4 5.0 2.5 2 7.1 7.4 3.9 3 7.5 7.7 4.1 4 6.0 6.2 3.3 5 4.0 4.1 2.2
under 2% 5% 12%+Niva down, Gomel II across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2025
Goals a meeting1.67
Over 2.51 of 3
Both scored1 of 3
Last meetingsGOM 1–2 NIV · GOM 1–0 NIV · NIV 1–0 GOM

Form · last six in 1. Division

NIVA

WWWLWD6–0 · 4–3 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 4–0 · 0–0

GOMEL II

DLLLLL2–2 · 2–5 · 1–3 · 0–1 · 3–4 · 0–3

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1FC Slutsk27+2857
2Niva27+3655
3Lida27+854
4FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk27+2553
5Slonim27+1747
6Molodechno-DYuSSh 426+545
7Bumprom27+1141
8Shakhter Soligorsk27+840
9Dinamo Minsk II25+535
10Ostrovets FC27−235
11Volna27−1034
12Smorgon27−333
13Minsk II27−1330
14Orsha27−2327
15Uni Minsk26−1026
16BATE II27−2522
17Gomel II27−1921
18Osipovichy27−3819

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.