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Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 v Niva
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Niva1. Division · SAT 17 OCT · Molodechno Haradzki Stadion
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Niva win at 50%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Niva 50% before kick-off, 50% now. 0–0 · 29–21–50
- 1′KICK-OFF Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 v Niva
- 9′Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 find the net on 8′. 1–0. 1–0 · 51–21–28
- 9′We said Niva at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 28%. 1–0 · 51–21–28
- 9′⚽ GOAL · 8' Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 1–0 Niva
- 9′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 9' Niva win: 50% at kick-off, 28% now
- 9′THE CALL SWINGS · 9' Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 win is now our likeliest result at 51% (was Niva win 28%)
- 17′A goal for Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 on 17′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 74–14–12
- 17′⚽ GOAL · 17' Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 2–0 Niva
- 17′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 17' Niva win: 50% at kick-off, 12% now
- 18′We said Niva at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 11%. 2–0 · 74–14–11
- 20′Niva score on 20′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 53–22–25
- 20′⚽ GOAL · 20' Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 2–1 Niva
- 20′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 20' Niva win: 50% at kick-off, 25% now
- 23′We said Niva at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 2–1 · 53–22–24
- 26′21′: D. Fedortsov on the scoresheet for Niva, making it 2–1. 2–1 · 54–23–23
- 27′🟨 YELLOW · 27' Niva
- 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' Niva win: 50% at kick-off, 20% now
- 38′We said Niva at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 2–1 · 57–24–19
- 45′HALF-TIME Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 2–1 Niva
- 46′SECOND HALF Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 2–1 Niva
- 56′Niva find the net on 56′. 2–2. 2–2 · 25–38–37
- 56′We said Niva at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 37%. 2–2 · 25–38–37
- 56′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.7 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 25–38–37
- 56′⚽ GOAL · 56' Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 2–2 Niva
- 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 56' Niva win: 50% at kick-off, 37% now
- 57′A goal for Niva on 57′ — 2–3. 2–3 · 6–18–76
- 57′We said Niva at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 76%. 2–3 · 6–18–76
- 57′⚽ GOAL · 57' Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 2–3 Niva
- 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 57' Niva win: 50% at kick-off, 76% now
- 57′THE CALL SWINGS · 57' Niva win is now our likeliest result at 76% (was Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 win 6%)
- 58′5 goals already, more than the 3.7 we expected for the whole match. 2–3 · 6–18–76
- 58′SUBSTITUTION · 37' Niva · On: P. Pampukha · Off: D. Galuza
- 69′We said Niva at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 2–3 · 3–17–80
- 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 69' Niva win: 50% at kick-off, 80% now
- 72′Niva score on 71′ to make it 2–4. 2–4 · 0–2–97
- 72′We said Niva at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 97%. 2–4 · 0–2–97
- 72′⚽ GOAL · 71' Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 2–4 Niva
- 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 72' Niva win: 50% at kick-off, 97% now
- 73′That is 6, and we only asked for 3.7 across ninety minutes. 2–4 · 0–2–97
- 76′🟨 YELLOW · 76' Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
- 77′🟨 YELLOW · 77' Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
- 84′We said Niva at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 2–4 · 0–0–100
- 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 84' Niva win: 50% at kick-off, over 99% now
- 94′🟨 YELLOW · 90+5' Niva
- FTFULL TIME Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 2–4 Niva
- FTMolodechno-DYuSSh 4 2–4 Niva · Niva win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassNiva are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 29%, draw 21%, Niva 50%. Over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 68%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 win29%
Niva win50%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 11:30
RoundMatchday 29
VenueMolodechno Haradzki Stadion
Match timeline
All events
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4MIN
NivaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Niva
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Niva
Last match: 10 Oct · 1. Division (Belarus)
Last match: 10 Oct · 1. Division (Belarus)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Formation not confirmed
1 D. Tretyak
5 V. Rusakov
10 D. Volkovets
12 D. Gruzhevskiy
15 A. Alshanik
17 V. Belashevich
18 A. Petrusevich
20 P. Klenye
37 A. Shlenkin
49 I. Chernykh
55 E. Imeryakov
Coach · Yuri Puntus
Substitutes
71 · O. Diva
7 · B. Levchenko
9 · E. Shmarov
11 · A. Voronovich
22 · S. Atrashkevich
29 · T. Dubovik
77 · A. Yushkevich
78 · F. Solovey
88 · A. Tsybulskiy
91 · T. Mamedov
Niva
Formation not confirmed
35 D. Kashtelyan
7 D. Galuza
8 D. Sibilev
9 A. Kuratnik
10 V. Dybin
18 V. Shcherbo
21 N. Leshkevich
23 D. Fedortsov
41 A. Tkhagalegov
62 M. Gordeychuk
88 R. Kozel
Coach · –
Substitutes
12 · N. Dovnar
3 · M. Druchik
4 · V. Milyutin
15 · I. Monich
20 · A. Martysevich
29 · P. Pampukha
47 · V. Skomarovskiy
69 · E. Mashagin
77 · V. Shubovich
98 · A. Karpuk
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Formation not confirmed
1 D. Tretyak
5 V. Rusakov
10 D. Volkovets
12 D. Gruzhevskiy
15 A. Alshanik
17 V. Belashevich
18 A. Petrusevich
20 P. Klenye
37 A. Shlenkin
49 I. Chernykh
55 E. Imeryakov
Coach · Yuri Puntus
Substitutes
71 · O. Diva
7 · B. Levchenko
9 · E. Shmarov
11 · A. Voronovich
22 · S. Atrashkevich
29 · T. Dubovik
77 · A. Yushkevich
78 · F. Solovey
88 · A. Tsybulskiy
91 · T. Mamedov
Niva
Formation not confirmed
35 D. Kashtelyan
7 D. Galuza
8 D. Sibilev
9 A. Kuratnik
10 V. Dybin
18 V. Shcherbo
21 N. Leshkevich
23 D. Fedortsov
41 A. Tkhagalegov
62 M. Gordeychuk
88 R. Kozel
Coach · –
Substitutes
12 · N. Dovnar
3 · M. Druchik
4 · V. Milyutin
15 · I. Monich
20 · A. Martysevich
29 · P. Pampukha
47 · V. Skomarovskiy
69 · E. Mashagin
77 · V. Shubovich
98 · A. Karpuk
We make Niva a 50% chance to win. The market has them at 47%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–2.1.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 47% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 win | 29% | 31% | −2 |
| Draw | 21% | 23% | −2 |
| Niva win | 50% | 47% | +3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 65% | +5 |
| Both teams to score | 68% | 66% | +2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 50% | 43% | +7 |
| Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 or draw | 50% | 53% | −3 |
| Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 clean sheet | 13% | – | – |
| Niva clean sheet | 22% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 1 bookmaker, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
5 meetings since 2021Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 1. Division this season · since 29 Aug
MOLODECHNO-DYUSSH 4
NIVA
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Slutsk | 29 | +30 | 63 |
| 2 | Niva | 28 | +39 | 58 |
| 3 | Lida | 28 | +9 | 57 |
| 4 | FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk | 28 | +29 | 56 |
| 5 | Slonim | 28 | +18 | 50 |
| 6 | Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 | 27 | +1 | 45 |
| 7 | Shakhter Soligorsk | 28 | +10 | 43 |
| 8 | Bumprom | 28 | +9 | 41 |
| 9 | Smorgon | 28 | −1 | 36 |
| 10 | Dinamo Minsk II | 25 | +5 | 35 |
| 11 | Ostrovets FC | 28 | −3 | 35 |
| 12 | Volna | 28 | −10 | 35 |
| 13 | Minsk II | 28 | −15 | 30 |
| 14 | Orsha | 28 | −24 | 27 |
| 15 | Uni Minsk | 27 | −11 | 26 |
| 16 | BATE II | 28 | −26 | 22 |
| 17 | Gomel II | 28 | −22 | 21 |
| 18 | Osipovichy | 28 | −38 | 20 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
FC Slutsk
Lida
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
Slonim
Shakhter Soligorsk
Bumprom
Smorgon
Dinamo Minsk II
Ostrovets FC
Volna
Minsk II
Orsha
Uni Minsk
BATE II
Gomel II
Osipovichy