Minsk II v Orsha

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Minsk II win at 57%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Minsk II 57% before kick-off, 57% now. 0–0 · 57–22–21
3. 1′KICK-OFF Minsk II v Orsha
4. 23′Minsk II score on 23′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 78–14–7
5. 23′⚽ GOAL · 23' Minsk II 1–0 Orsha
6. 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Minsk II win: 57% at kick-off, 78% now
7. 24′We said Minsk II at 57% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 78%. 1–0 · 78–14–7
8. 25′24′: G. Bulatskiy on the scoresheet for Minsk II, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 78–15–7
9. 28′Orsha find the net on 28′. 1–1. 1–1 · 51–28–22
10. 28′⚽ GOAL · 28' Minsk II 1–1 Orsha
11. 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 28' Minsk II win: 57% at kick-off, 51% now
12. 29′Orsha level it on 29′ through A. Alexandrovich. 1–1. 1–1 · 50–28–22
13. 29′🟨 YELLOW · 29' Orsha
14. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Minsk II win: 57% at kick-off, 47% now
15. 42′🟨 YELLOW · 41' Minsk II
16. 44′We said Minsk II at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 45%. 1–1 · 45–34–21
17. 45′The goal count is tracking the 3.2 we expected. 1–1 · 45–34–21
18. 45′HALF-TIME Minsk II 1–1 Orsha
19. 46′SECOND HALF Minsk II 1–1 Orsha
20. 47′We said Minsk II at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 1–1 · 44–35–21
21. 49′🟨 YELLOW · 49' Minsk II
22. 57′We said Minsk II at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–42–19
23. 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Minsk II win 40%)
24. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 60' Minsk II win: 57% at kick-off, 37% now
25. 65′We said Minsk II at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–49–17
26. 71′We said Minsk II at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–56–15
27. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Minsk II win: 57% at kick-off, 27% now
28. 75′We said Minsk II at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–63–13
29. 75′A goal for Orsha on 75′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 4–20–76
30. 75′We said Minsk II at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–2 · 4–20–76
31. 75′⚽ GOAL · 75' Minsk II 1–2 Orsha
32. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Minsk II win: 57% at kick-off, 4% now
33. 75′THE CALL SWINGS · 75' Orsha win is now our likeliest result at 76% (was Draw 63%)
34. 85′Orsha score on 85′ to make it 1–3. 1–3 · 0–1–99
35. 85′⚽ GOAL · 85' Minsk II 1–3 Orsha
36. 86′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.2 across ninety minutes. 1–3 · 0–1–99
37. 87′Orsha find the net on 87′. 1–4. 1–4 · 0–0–100
38. 87′⚽ GOAL · 87' Minsk II 1–4 Orsha
39. 88′5 goals already, more than the 3.2 we expected for the whole match. 1–4 · 0–0–100
40. 92′Orsha ahead on 86′ through D. Tikhomirov. 1–4. 1–4 · 0–0–100
41. FTFULL TIME Minsk II 1–5 Orsha
42. FTMinsk II 1–5 Orsha · Minsk II win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.