Dinamo Minsk II v Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 prediction · 1. Division

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Dinamo Minsk IIDrawMolodechno-DYuSSh 4

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 38%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Dinamo Minsk II 37%, draw 25%, Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 38%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Dinamo Minsk II v Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Dinamo Minsk II win37%

Draw25%

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 win38%

Kick-offTHU 29 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 26

VenueRCOP-BGU Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Dinamo Minsk II

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4

6Days since last match5

Last match: 23 Oct · 1. Division (Belarus)

Last match: 24 Oct · 1. Division (Belarus)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Molodechno-DYuSSh 4	29	−2	45
12	Dinamo Minsk II	27	+1	35

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · molodechno-dyussh 4 winFirst published 23 Oct 00:01 · updated 24 Oct 00:14 · locked at kick-off

38% The market–

Us38%

We make Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 a 38% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Dinamo Minsk II v Molodechno-DYuSSh 4~~1.42 – 1.43

~~Form · last six in 1. Division this season · since 30 Aug~~W2 D1 L3 · W1 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 35 v 45~~12 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 win

Published at 37%, 38% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Dinamo Minsk II win	37%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 win	38%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	54%	–	–
Both teams to score	57%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	77%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	32%	–	–
Dinamo Minsk II or draw	62%	–	–
Dinamo Minsk II clean sheet	25%	–	–
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.8%

0123450 6.4 8.1 6.0 2.9 1 8.0 11.8 8.1 3.9 2 5.8 8.1 5.7 2.8 3 2.8 3.8 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Dinamo Minsk II down, Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,501 1. Division matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1. Division matches have gone over 2.5 in 62.9% of games this season, across 264 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2024 in every competition we cover, 3.67 goals a meeting; 2 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Dinamo Minsk II at home: 0.83 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 6). Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 away: 1.00 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.42 goals for Dinamo Minsk II, 1.43 for Molodechno-DYuSSh 4. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~3.67

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 3

~~Both scored~~3 of 3

~~Last meetings~~MOL 1–1 DIN · DIN 3–3 MOL · MOL 2–1 DIN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1. Division this season · since 30 Aug

DINAMO MINSK II

WLDWLL3–2 · 1–2 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 0–2 · 0–2

MOLODECHNO-DYUSSH 4

DWLLLL0–0 · 3–2 · 1–4 · 1–5 · 2–4 · 0–1

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	FC Slutsk	30	+32	66
2	Lida	30	+11	63
3	Niva	29	+41	61
4	FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk	29	+26	56
5	Slonim	30	+18	53
6	Shakhter Soligorsk	30	+14	47
7	Molodechno-DYuSSh 4	29	−2	45
8	Bumprom	30	+6	41
9	Ostrovets FC	30	−1	39
10	Smorgon	30	−4	39
11	Volna	30	−11	38
12	Dinamo Minsk II	27	+1	35
13	Minsk II	30	−16	33
14	Orsha	30	−21	30
15	Uni Minsk	28	−8	29
16	Osipovichy	29	−37	23
17	BATE II	28	−26	22
18	Gomel II	29	−23	21