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Dinamo Minsk II v BATE II

Dinamo Minsk II

–Postponed

BATE II

1. Division · SAT 10 OCT · RCOP-BGU Stadium

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Dinamo Minsk II win51%

Draw23%

BATE II win26%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 16:00

Venue · RCOP-BGU Stadium

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · dinamo minsk ii winPublished 10 Oct 16:17

51% The market–

Us51%

We make Dinamo Minsk II a 51% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Dinamo Minsk II win	51%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
BATE II win	26%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	61%	–	–
Both teams to score	61%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	82%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	39%	–	–
Dinamo Minsk II or draw	74%	–	–
Dinamo Minsk II clean sheet	28%	–	–
BATE II clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.4%

0123450 4.9 5.1 3.5 1 7.6 10.4 6.4 2.8 2 7.4 9.2 5.9 2.6 3 4.7 5.8 3.7 4 2.3 2.8 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Dinamo Minsk II down, BATE II across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,478 1. Division matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

1. Division matches have gone over 2.5 in 64.3% of games this season, across 241 played.

Head to head

5 previous meetings, 3.80 goals a meeting; 4 of 5 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Dinamo Minsk II at home: 0.83 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 6). BATE II away: 0.67 scored, 2.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.90 goals for Dinamo Minsk II, 1.29 for BATE II. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~3.80

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 5

~~Both scored~~3 of 5

~~Last meetings~~BAT 3–2 DIN · BAT 2–2 DIN · DIN 0–2 BAT · BAT 0–5 DIN

Form · last six in 1. Division

DINAMO MINSK II

LWWLDW1–2 · 4–1 · 3–2 · 1–2 · 0–0 · 1–0

BATE II

DLWLLD2–2 · 0–3 · 3–1 · 0–3 · 1–2 · 1–1

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	FC Slutsk	27	+28	57
2	Niva	27	+36	55
3	Lida	27	+8	54
4	FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk	27	+25	53
5	Slonim	27	+17	47
6	Molodechno-DYuSSh 4	26	+5	45
7	Bumprom	27	+11	41
8	Shakhter Soligorsk	27	+8	40
9	Dinamo Minsk II	25	+5	35
10	Ostrovets FC	27	−2	35
11	Volna	27	−10	34
12	Smorgon	27	−3	33
13	Minsk II	27	−13	30
14	Orsha	27	−23	27
15	Uni Minsk	26	−10	26
16	BATE II	27	−25	22
17	Gomel II	27	−19	21
18	Osipovichy	27	−38	19