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Mohammedan Dhaka v Arambagh

Mohammedan Dhaka

6–0Full time

Arambagh

Premier League · FRI 9 OCT · Rafiq Uddin Bhuiyan Stadium

Not gradedCorrected 16 Oct 17:17

Corrected on 16 Oct: this match was first graded on a score of 6–0. It was played on 10 Oct 09:45, more than three hours after the kick-off we published for, so this prediction is not graded and is not in the record’s figures.

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Mohammedan Dhaka win62%

Draw24%

Arambagh win14%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 09:45

Venue · Rafiq Uddin Bhuiyan Stadium

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Mohammedan Dhaka

Formation not confirmed

23 A. Rahman

98 R. Mia

22 S. Uddin

55 E. T. Agbaji

3 M. J. Hasan Shanta

21 S. Hossain

17 M. Muzaffarov

99 S. Emon

6 M. S. Rana

10 S. Diabate

77 A. Hossain

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · S. Hossain

30 · I. Hossain Mahin

5 · S. Mia

4 · I. Hossain

71 · R. Hossain

2 · S. A. Topu

8 · M. Mehedi Hasan

7 · M. Rakib

18 · S. Dewan

37 · E. Sunday

16 · M. Jewel

25 · M. M. Islam

Arambagh

Formation not confirmed

1 A. Hossen

2 M. Rocky

5 M. Kiron

13 J. R. Joblu

4 M. Suleman

7 S. R. Khan

16 R. Suraj

14 S. Joy Tanchangy

30 A. Musa

40 A. Cishty

17 S. Islam

Coach · –

Substitutes

25 · A. Al-Mahbub

22 · T. Siddique

27 · M. Fakir

21 · S. Hossain

33 · A. Mali

28 · A. Ahmed

15 · J. Kumar

8 · S. Rahman

10 · S. Juel

18 · S. Opurbo

9 · O. Amaniapong

20 · M. Pradhan

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Mohammedan Dhaka

Formation not confirmed

23 A. Rahman

98 R. Mia

22 S. Uddin

55 E. T. Agbaji

3 M. J. Hasan Shanta

21 S. Hossain

17 M. Muzaffarov

99 S. Emon

6 M. S. Rana

10 S. Diabate

77 A. Hossain

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · S. Hossain

30 · I. Hossain Mahin

5 · S. Mia

4 · I. Hossain

71 · R. Hossain

2 · S. A. Topu

8 · M. Mehedi Hasan

7 · M. Rakib

18 · S. Dewan

37 · E. Sunday

16 · M. Jewel

25 · M. M. Islam

Arambagh

Formation not confirmed

1 A. Hossen

2 M. Rocky

5 M. Kiron

13 J. R. Joblu

4 M. Suleman

7 S. R. Khan

16 R. Suraj

14 S. Joy Tanchangy

30 A. Musa

40 A. Cishty

17 S. Islam

Coach · –

Substitutes

25 · A. Al-Mahbub

22 · T. Siddique

27 · M. Fakir

21 · S. Hossain

33 · A. Mali

28 · A. Ahmed

15 · J. Kumar

8 · S. Rahman

10 · S. Juel

18 · S. Opurbo

9 · O. Amaniapong

20 · M. Pradhan

Our number · mohammedan dhaka winPublished 9 Oct 23:31

62% The market–

Us62%

We make Mohammedan Dhaka a 62% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–0.8, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Mohammedan Dhaka win	62%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Arambagh win	14%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	50%	–	–
Both teams to score	46%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	76%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	29%	–	–
Mohammedan Dhaka or draw	86%	–	–
Mohammedan Dhaka clean sheet	47%	–	–
Arambagh clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 12.2%

0123450 8.7 3.9 2.1 1 11.6 11.1 3.9 2 12.2 9.0 3.6 3 7.9 5.8 2.3 4 4.0 2.9 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Mohammedan Dhaka down, Arambagh across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 680 Premier League matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 51.7% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

4 previous meetings, 2.50 goals a meeting; 2 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Mohammedan Dhaka at home: 2.00 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Arambagh away: 1.00 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.93 goals for Mohammedan Dhaka, 0.78 for Arambagh. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~ARA 0–2 MOH · MOH 1–1 ARA · MOH 2–1 ARA · ARA 0–3 MOH

Form · last six in Premier League

MOHAMMEDAN DHAKA

WLWLWW3–1 · 1–2 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 5–0 · 1–0

ARAMBAGH

DLLLDD2–2 · 0–2 · 0–2 · 0–4 · 1–1 · 2–2

The table

2027/28

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Bangladesh Police	2	+4	6
2	Fortis	2	+6	4
3	Abahani	2	+4	4
4	City Club	2	+3	4
5	Mohammedan Dhaka	1	+1	3
6	Fakirerpool	2	0	3
7	Arambagh	2	0	2
8	PWD Sports Club	2	0	2
9	Bashundhara Kings	1	0	1
10	Rahmatgonj MFS	2	−1	1
11	Brothers Union	2	−3	1
12	Dhaka Wanderers	2	−5	0
13	Chattogram	2	−9	0