Home › Football › Premier League › Bashundhara Kings v Chattogram

Bashundhara Kings v Chattogram

Bashundhara Kings

4–2Full time

Chattogram

Premier League · SAT 24 OCT · Bashundhara Kings Arena

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 15:38

Bashundhara Kings 4–2 Chattogram BASHUNDHARA KINGS WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT3–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Bashundhara Kings win~~85%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.034

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay19 notes · 26 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Bashundhara Kings win at 85%.
1′Much as we predicted: Bashundhara Kings was 85% before kick-off and our model makes it 85% now. 0–0 · 85–10–5
1′KICK-OFF Bashundhara Kings v Chattogram
12′Chattogram score on 12′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 66–17–17
12′We said Bashundhara Kings at 85%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 66%. 0–1 · 66–17–17
12′⚽ GOAL · 12' Bashundhara Kings 0–1 Chattogram
12′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 12' Bashundhara Kings win: 85% at kick-off, 66% now
14′13′: A. Sonam on the scoresheet for Chattogram, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 66–17–17
15′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 15' Bashundhara Kings win: 85% at kick-off, 65% now
17′We said Bashundhara Kings at 85%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 64%. 0–1 · 64–18–18
21′SUBSTITUTION · 16' Chattogram · On: S. Hossain Sayem · Off: M. Ullah
26′We said Bashundhara Kings at 85%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 59%. 0–1 · 59–20–21
28′Bashundhara Kings find the net on 27′. 1–1. 1–1 · 79–15–6
28′⚽ GOAL · 27' Bashundhara Kings 1–1 Chattogram
28′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 28' Bashundhara Kings win: 85% at kick-off, 79% now
29′Bashundhara Kings level it on 28′ through Robinho. 1–1. 1–1 · 78–15–6
32′A goal for Bashundhara Kings on 31′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 93–5–2
32′⚽ GOAL · 31' Bashundhara Kings 2–1 Chattogram
35′Caique scores for Bashundhara Kings on 32′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 93–5–1
45′HALF-TIME Bashundhara Kings 2–1 Chattogram
46′SECOND HALF Bashundhara Kings 2–1 Chattogram
50′Bashundhara Kings score on 50′ to make it 3–1. 3–1 · 99–1–0
50′We published Bashundhara Kings at 85%. Our model now makes it 99%. 3–1 · 99–1–0
50′⚽ GOAL · 50' Bashundhara Kings 3–1 Chattogram
50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Bashundhara Kings win: 85% at kick-off, 99% now
55′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Chattogram · On: S. Z. Nipu · Off: R. I. Dukhu Mia
59′SUBSTITUTION · 56' Bashundhara Kings · On: A. Bista · Off: E. Ogbugh
61′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Chattogram
62′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Chattogram · On: M. Kahraba · Off: R. Onwrebe
71′🟨 YELLOW · 71' Chattogram
72′Goals are coming at about the 4.5 we expected. 3–1 · 99–1–0
74′We published Bashundhara Kings at 85%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
78′🟨 YELLOW · 78' Chattogram
79′Bashundhara Kings find the net on 79′. 4–1. 4–1 · 100–0–0
79′That is 5, and we only asked for 4.5 across ninety minutes. 4–1 · 100–0–0
79′⚽ GOAL · 79' Bashundhara Kings 4–1 Chattogram
80′Bashundhara Kings ahead on 78′ through Caique. 4–1. 4–1 · 100–0–0
86′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Bashundhara Kings · On: M. Abdullah · Off: R. Hossain
86′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Bashundhara Kings · On: M. S. Hossen · Off: M. Ridoy
87′A goal for Chattogram on 87′ — 4–2. 4–2 · 100–0–0
87′⚽ GOAL · 87' Bashundhara Kings 4–2 Chattogram
88′6 goals already, more than the 4.5 we expected for the whole match. 4–2 · 100–0–0
92′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' Bashundhara Kings
93′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Chattogram · On: B. Uddin · Off: S. Z. Nipu
93′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Chattogram · On: R. Hossain · Off: A. Sonam
FTFULL TIME Bashundhara Kings 4–2 Chattogram
FTBashundhara Kings 4–2 Chattogram · Bashundhara Kings win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 3–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Bashundhara Kings are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Bashundhara Kings 85%, draw 10%, Chattogram 5%. Over 2.5 goals 80%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on Bashundhara Kings v ChattogramBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Bashundhara Kings win85%

Draw10%

Chattogram win5%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 12:30

RoundMatchday 5

VenueBashundhara Kings Arena

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Bashundhara Kings

Chattogram

4Days since last match7

Last match: 20 Oct · Federation Cup (Bangladesh)

Last match: 17 Oct · Premier League (Bangladesh)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Bashundhara Kings	3	+10	7
12	Chattogram	4	−12	0

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · bashundhara kings winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

85% The market–

Us85%

We make Bashundhara Kings an 85% chance to win. The model expects 3.7–0.8, and 3–0 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Bashundhara Kings v Chattogram~~3.75 – 0.75

~~Form · Premier League this season · since 18 Sept~~W2 D1 L0 · W0 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 7 v 0~~4 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Bashundhara Kings win	85%	–	–
Draw	10%	–	–
Chattogram win	5%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	80%	–	–
Both teams to score	50%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	93%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	63%	–	–
Bashundhara Kings or draw	95%	–	–
Bashundhara Kings clean sheet	48%	–	–
Chattogram clean sheet	4%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 3–0 at 9.1%

0123450 2.3 1 4.4 4.5 2 8.1 6.1 2.5 3 9.1 6.7 2.7 4 8.1 5.7 2.2 5 6.1 4.1

under 2% 5% 12%+Bashundhara Kings down, Chattogram across0–5 goals a side shown (80.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 693 Premier League matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 51.7% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Bashundhara Kings at home: 2.83 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Chattogram away: 0.67 scored, 3.67 conceded (last 3).

What the model expects

3.75 goals for Bashundhara Kings, 0.75 for Chattogram. Most likely score 3–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Premier League this season · since 18 Sept

BASHUNDHARA KINGS

DWW1–1 · 7–0 · 3–0

CHATTOGRAM

LLLL0–6 · 0–3 · 1–2 · 1–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Bangladesh Police	4	+12	10
2	Mohammedan Dhaka	3	+9	9
3	Fortis	3	+12	7
4	Bashundhara Kings	3	+10	7
5	Abahani	4	+5	7
6	City Club	4	+1	7
7	Rahmatgonj MFS	5	0	6
8	Brothers Union	5	−8	5
9	PWD Sports Club	4	−2	3
10	Arambagh	4	−6	3
11	Fakirerpool	4	−9	3
12	Chattogram	4	−12	0
13	Dhaka Wanderers	3	−12	0