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Bangladesh Police v Fakirerpool

Bangladesh Police

8–0Full time

Fakirerpool

Premier League · SAT 10 OCT · Rafiq Uddin Bhuiyan Stadium

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 12:18

Bangladesh Police 8–0 Fakirerpool BANGLADESH POLICE WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Bangladesh Police win~~65%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.187

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 25 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Bangladesh Police win at 65%.
1′Much as we predicted: Bangladesh Police was 65% before kick-off and our model makes it 67% now. 0–0 · 67–20–13
1′KICK-OFF Bangladesh Police v Fakirerpool
16′⚽ GOAL · 16' Bangladesh Police 1–0 Fakirerpool
17′🟨 YELLOW · 17' Fakirerpool
20′⚽ GOAL · 20' Bangladesh Police 2–0 Fakirerpool
22′Bangladesh Police find the net on 20′. 2–0. 2–0 · 97–3–1
22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Bangladesh Police win: 65% at kick-off, 97% now
23′⚽ GOAL · 23' Bangladesh Police 3–0 Fakirerpool
32′We published Bangladesh Police at 65%. Our model now makes it 97%. 2–0 · 97–2–0
42′⚽ GOAL · 42' Bangladesh Police 3–0 Fakirerpool
45′HALF-TIME Bangladesh Police 3–0 Fakirerpool
46′SECOND HALF Bangladesh Police 3–0 Fakirerpool
47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Fakirerpool · On: D. Sidik · Off: S. Hossain Corrected
48′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Fakirerpool · On: D. Sidik · Off: S. Sillah
48′⚽ GOAL · 48' Bangladesh Police 4–0 Fakirerpool
54′⚽ GOAL · 53' Bangladesh Police 5–0 Fakirerpool · R. Ba (assist M. Rabbi Hossen Rahul)
57′SUBSTITUTION · 55' Fakirerpool · On: T. Ahammed · Off: R. Mia
58′🟨 YELLOW · 58' Fakirerpool
69′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Bangladesh Police · On: H. Arian · Off: J. Kumar Roy
70′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Bangladesh Police · On: J. Marcelinho · Off: S. Kagimu
76′⚽ GOAL · 76' Bangladesh Police 6–0 Fakirerpool
81′⚽ GOAL · 81' Bangladesh Police 7–0 Fakirerpool
84′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Bangladesh Police · On: R. Tushar · Off: A. Bhuiyan
84′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Bangladesh Police · On: A. Foysal Akash · Off: M. Bablu
85′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Bangladesh Police · On: S. Ahmed · Off: M. Mollah
85′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Fakirerpool · On: A. Roy · Off: M. Miah Corrected
90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Bangladesh Police 8–0 Fakirerpool
FTFULL TIME Bangladesh Police 8–0 Fakirerpool
FTBangladesh Police 8–0 Fakirerpool · Bangladesh Police win: right · Over 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Bangladesh Police win65%

Draw23%

Fakirerpool win12%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 09:45

Venue · Rafiq Uddin Bhuiyan Stadium

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Bangladesh Police

Formation not confirmed

23 A. Bhuiyan

27 H. Zahid

34 S. Nirob

77 J. Kumar Roy

17 I. Faysal

8 S. Kagimu

14 M. Mollah

7 M. Bablu

19 J. Ngong Sam

9 R. Ba

10 M. Rabbi Hossen Rahul

Coach · –

Substitutes

15 · S. Ahmed

28 · M. Amirul Islam

96 · A. Foysal Akash

1 · R. Tushar

88 · M. A. Hossain

80 · H. Arian

18 · M. I. Moin

22 · D. Jubed

3 · M. Miah

33 · A. Rahman

24 · D. Roy

98 · J. Marcelinho

Fakirerpool

Formation not confirmed

1 R. Mia

2 M. Shanto

33 M. Fofana

5 R. Islam

3 M. Ganto

15 M. Miah

26 R. Hawladar

7 S. Hossain

10 S. Sillah

20 S. Hossain

69 B. Ouattara

Coach · –

Substitutes

30 · T. Ahammed

17 · M. Al Amin

22 · A. Ali

24 · H. R. Babu

32 · M. S. Farchi

88 · J. Hasan

84 · S. Hossain

16 · Y. Mia

27 · P. Roy

6 · D. Sidik

14 · S. Tudu

70 · M. S. Islam

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Bangladesh Police

Formation not confirmed

23 A. Bhuiyan

27 H. Zahid

34 S. Nirob

77 J. Kumar Roy

17 I. Faysal

8 S. Kagimu

14 M. Mollah

7 M. Bablu

19 J. Ngong Sam

9 R. Ba

10 M. Rabbi Hossen Rahul

Coach · –

Substitutes

15 · S. Ahmed

28 · M. Amirul Islam

96 · A. Foysal Akash

1 · R. Tushar

88 · M. A. Hossain

80 · H. Arian

18 · M. I. Moin

22 · D. Jubed

3 · M. Miah

33 · A. Rahman

24 · D. Roy

98 · J. Marcelinho

Fakirerpool

Formation not confirmed

1 R. Mia

2 M. Shanto

33 M. Fofana

5 R. Islam

3 M. Ganto

15 M. Miah

26 R. Hawladar

7 S. Hossain

10 S. Sillah

20 S. Hossain

69 B. Ouattara

Coach · –

Substitutes

30 · T. Ahammed

17 · M. Al Amin

22 · A. Ali

24 · H. R. Babu

32 · M. S. Farchi

88 · J. Hasan

84 · S. Hossain

16 · Y. Mia

27 · P. Roy

6 · D. Sidik

14 · S. Tudu

70 · M. S. Islam

Our number · bangladesh police winPublished 10 Oct 09:34

65% The market–

Us65%

We make Bangladesh Police a 65% chance to win. The model expects 2.1–0.8, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Bangladesh Police win	65%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Fakirerpool win	12%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	53%	–	–
Both teams to score	47%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	78%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	32%	–	–
Bangladesh Police or draw	88%	–	–
Bangladesh Police clean sheet	47%	–	–
Fakirerpool clean sheet	14%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 12.3%

0123450 7.9 3.3 1 11.0 10.5 3.6 2 12.3 9.1 3.6 3 8.4 6.2 2.4 4 4.5 3.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Bangladesh Police down, Fakirerpool across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 684 Premier League matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 51.7% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

4 previous meetings, 3.50 goals a meeting; 3 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Bangladesh Police at home: 1.00 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Fakirerpool away: 0.67 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.06 goals for Bangladesh Police, 0.77 for Fakirerpool. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 4

~~Both scored~~3 of 4

~~Last meetings~~FAK 1–3 BAN · BAN 1–1 FAK · FAK 0–3 BAN · BAN 4–1 FAK

Form · last six in Premier League

BANGLADESH POLICE

WDWDWW1–0 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 3–0

FAKIRERPOOL

LLLLWL0–2 · 1–7 · 0–1 · 1–4 · 2–1 · 0–1

The table

2027/28

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Fortis	3	+12	7
2	City Club	3	+4	7
3	Bangladesh Police	2	+4	6
4	Bashundhara Kings	2	+7	4
5	Abahani	2	+4	4
6	Mohammedan Dhaka	1	+1	3
7	Fakirerpool	2	0	3
8	PWD Sports Club	3	0	3
9	Arambagh	2	0	2
10	Rahmatgonj MFS	3	−1	2
11	Brothers Union	3	−9	1
12	Chattogram	3	−10	0
13	Dhaka Wanderers	3	−12	0