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Mohammedan Dhaka v PWD Sports Club
Mohammedan Dhaka
PWD Sports ClubFederation Cup · TUE 20 OCT · Rafiq Uddin Bhuiyan Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Mohammedan Dhaka win at 65%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Mohammedan Dhaka was 65% before kick-off and our model makes it 65% now. 0–0 · 65–23–12
- 1′KICK-OFF Mohammedan Dhaka v PWD Sports Club
- 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 34' Mohammedan Dhaka win: 65% at kick-off, 55% now
- 39′We said Mohammedan Dhaka at 65%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 53%. 0–0 · 53–34–13
- 45′HALF-TIME Mohammedan Dhaka 0–0 PWD Sports Club
- 45′SECOND HALF Mohammedan Dhaka 0–0 PWD Sports Club
- 47′We said Mohammedan Dhaka at 65%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 49–38–13
- 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Mohammedan Dhaka win: 65% at kick-off, 45% now
- 55′We said Mohammedan Dhaka at 65%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–43–12
- 56′We expected about 2.7 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 44–44–12
- 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Draw is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Mohammedan Dhaka win 44%)
- 61′Mohammedan Dhaka score on 61′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 88–10–1
- 61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Mohammedan Dhaka 1–0 PWD Sports Club
- 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 61' Mohammedan Dhaka win: 65% at kick-off, 88% now
- 61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Mohammedan Dhaka win is now our likeliest result at 88% (was Draw 49%)
- 62′We published Mohammedan Dhaka at 65%. Our model now makes it 89%. 1–0 · 89–10–1
- 69′We published Mohammedan Dhaka at 65%. Our model now makes it 90%. 1–0 · 90–9–1
- 72′PWD Sports Club find the net on 72′. 1–1. 1–1 · 29–62–9
- 72′⚽ GOAL · 72' Mohammedan Dhaka 1–1 PWD Sports Club
- 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Mohammedan Dhaka win: 65% at kick-off, 29% now
- 72′THE CALL SWINGS · 72' Draw is now our likeliest result at 62% (was Mohammedan Dhaka win 91%)
- 74′We said Mohammedan Dhaka at 65%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 27%. 1–1 · 27–65–9
- 74′Goals are coming at about the 2.7 we expected. 1–1 · 27–65–9
- 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Mohammedan Dhaka win: 65% at kick-off, 25% now
- 76′We said Mohammedan Dhaka at 65%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–68–8
- 80′We said Mohammedan Dhaka at 65%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 18%. 1–1 · 18–75–6
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Mohammedan Dhaka win: 65% at kick-off, 15% now
- 83′We said Mohammedan Dhaka at 65%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–82–5
- 87′We said Mohammedan Dhaka at 65%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–88–3
- 90′Full time, 1–1. We called Mohammedan Dhaka at 65% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 1–1 · 0–100–0
- 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+1' Mohammedan Dhaka win: 65% at kick-off, 5% now
- 92′We said Mohammedan Dhaka at 65%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–94–2
- FTFULL TIME Mohammedan Dhaka 1–1 PWD Sports Club
- FTMohammedan Dhaka 1–1 PWD Sports Club · Mohammedan Dhaka win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Mohammedan Dhaka are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Mohammedan Dhaka 65%, draw 23%, PWD Sports Club 12%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 45%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 14 Oct 04:28 · locked at kick-off
Mohammedan Dhaka win65%
PWD Sports Club win12%Kick-offTUE 20 OCT · 09:45
RoundGroup stage
VenueRafiq Uddin Bhuiyan Stadium
Match timeline
All events
Mohammedan DhakaMIN
PWD Sports ClubEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Mohammedan Dhaka
PWD Sports Club
Last match: 16 Oct · Premier League (Bangladesh)
Last match: 16 Oct · Premier League (Bangladesh)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Mohammedan Dhaka a 65% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–0.7, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 64%, 65% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mohammedan Dhaka win | 65% | – | – |
| Draw | 23% | – | – |
| PWD Sports Club win | 12% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 45% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | – | – |
| Mohammedan Dhaka or draw | 88% | – | – |
| Mohammedan Dhaka clean sheet | 49% | – | – |
| PWD Sports Club clean sheet | 15% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
3 meetings since 2025/26Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Federation Cup this season · since 6 Oct
MOHAMMEDAN DHAKA
PWD SPORTS CLUB
No matches in our record yet.