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Model 1.2

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City Club v Bashundhara Kings

City Club
0–2Full time
Bashundhara Kings

Federation Cup · TUE 20 OCT

Full timeGraded 20 Oct 12:30
City Club 0–2 Bashundhara Kings BASHUNDHARA KINGS WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–2 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said Bashundhara Kings win69%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.150

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay8 notes · 8 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Bashundhara Kings win at 69%.
  2. 15′Little has changed for our model: Bashundhara Kings 69% before kick-off, 66% now. 0–0 · 14–21–66
  3. 18′A goal for Bashundhara Kings on 18′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 5–9–86
  4. 18′⚽ GOAL · 18' City Club 0–1 Bashundhara Kings
  5. 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 18' Bashundhara Kings win: 69% at kick-off, 86% now
  6. 19′We said Bashundhara Kings at 69% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 86%. 0–1 · 5–9–86
  7. 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.7 we expected. 0–1 · 4–10–85
  8. 31′The goal count is tracking the 3.7 we expected. 0–1 · 4–10–85
  9. 39′Bashundhara Kings score on 39′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 1–3–96
  10. 39′⚽ GOAL · 39' City Club 0–2 Bashundhara Kings
  11. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' Bashundhara Kings win: 69% at kick-off, 96% now
  12. 40′We said Bashundhara Kings at 69% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 96%. 0–2 · 1–3–96
  13. 45′HALF-TIME City Club 0–2 Bashundhara Kings
  14. 46′SECOND HALF City Club 0–2 Bashundhara Kings
  15. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 69' Bashundhara Kings win: 69% at kick-off, 99% now
  16. 80′We said Bashundhara Kings at 69% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 0–2 · 0–0–100
  17. FTFULL TIME City Club 0–2 Bashundhara Kings
  18. FTCity Club 0–2 Bashundhara Kings · Bashundhara Kings win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–2 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Bashundhara Kings are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: City Club 13%, draw 19%, Bashundhara Kings 69%. Over 2.5 goals 69%, both teams to score 58%.

The AI’s read on City Club v Bashundhara KingsBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 14 Oct 04:28 · locked at kick-off

City Club win13%
Draw19%
Bashundhara Kings win69%

Kick-offTUE 20 OCT · 09:45

RoundGroup stage

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

City Club

Bashundhara Kings

4Days since last match4

Last match: 16 Oct · Premier League (Bangladesh)

Last match: 16 Oct · Premier League (Bangladesh)

3Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · bashundhara kings winFirst published 14 Oct 04:28 · updated 17 Oct 00:18 · locked at kick-off
69% The market–
Us69%

We make Bashundhara Kings a 69% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–2.7, and 0–2 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · City Club v Bashundhara Kings1.02 – 2.66
Form · Federation Cup this season · since 6 OctW0 D1 L0 · W1 D0 L0

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
60%65%70% 14 OCT 04:2820 OCT 09:43
Our probability · Bashundhara Kings win

Published at 65%, 69% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
City Club win13%––
Draw19%––
Bashundhara Kings win69%––
Over 2.5 goals69%––
Both teams to score58%––
Over 1.5 goals88%––
Over 3.5 goals49%––
City Club or draw31%––
City Club clean sheet9%––
Bashundhara Kings clean sheet38%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–2 at 8.7%
0123450 4.3 6.0 8.7 7.4 5.1 3.01 8.2 8.4 7.0 4.6 2.62 3.8 4.4 3.6 2.3 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+City Club down, Bashundhara Kings across0–5 goals a side shown (92.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026/27
Goals a meeting3.00
Over 2.51 of 1
Both scored0 of 1
Last meetingsCIT 0–3 BAS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Federation Cup this season · since 6 Oct

CITY CLUB

D1–1

BASHUNDHARA KINGS

W5–0