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Muharraq v Malkiya
Muharraq
MalkiyaPremier League · SUN 18 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Muharraq win at 58%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Muharraq 58% before kick-off, 57% now. 0–0 · 57–27–16
- 1′KICK-OFF Muharraq v Malkiya
- 14′A goal for Muharraq on 13′. 0–0 · 54–30–16
- 14′We said Muharraq at 58% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 84%. 1–0 · 84–12–4
- 14′⚽ GOAL · 13' Muharraq 1–0 Malkiya
- 14′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 14' Muharraq win: 58% at kick-off, 84% now
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.2 we expected. 1–0 · 84–12–3
- 36′We said Muharraq at 58% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–3
- 38′Muharraq find the net on 38′. 1–0 · 85–13–3
- 41′GOAL DISALLOWED · 38' Muharraq
- 45′Muharraq score on 44′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 98–2–0
- 45′⚽ GOAL · 44' Muharraq 2–0 Malkiya
- 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Muharraq win: 58% at kick-off, 98% now
- 46′We said Muharraq at 58% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 98%. 2–0 · 98–2–0
- 60′A goal for Muharraq on 60′. 2–0 · 99–1–0
- 60′We said Muharraq at 58% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- 60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Muharraq 3–0 Malkiya
- 61′3 goals already, more than the 2.2 we expected for the whole match. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- 61′GOAL DISALLOWED · 61' Muharraq
- 61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Muharraq 3–0 Malkiya
- 90′3–0 at the end. Our 58% on Muharraq comes in. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- FTFULL TIME Muharraq 3–0 Malkiya
- FTMuharraq 3–0 Malkiya · Muharraq win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Muharraq are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Muharraq 58%, draw 26%, Malkiya 16%. Over 2.5 goals 38%, both teams to score 38%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Muharraq win58%
Malkiya win16%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 17:00
RoundMatchday 5
Match timeline
All events
MuharraqMIN
MalkiyaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Muharraq
Malkiya
Last match: 14 Oct · AFC Champions League Two
Last match: 9 Oct · Premier League (Bahrain)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Muharraq a 58% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–0.7, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 16%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Muharraq win | 58% | – | – |
| Draw | 26% | – | – |
| Malkiya win | 16% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 38% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% | – | – |
| Muharraq or draw | 84% | – | – |
| Muharraq clean sheet | 52% | – | – |
| Malkiya clean sheet | 22% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Premier League this season · since 27 Aug
MUHARRAQ
MALKIYA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Riffa | 5 | +10 | 11 |
| 2 | Al Ittifaq Maqaba | 5 | +2 | 10 |
| 3 | Khalidiya | 4 | +7 | 8 |
| 4 | Sitra | 5 | +3 | 8 |
| 5 | Al Ahli | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 6 | Al Najma | 5 | −3 | 7 |
| 7 | East Riffa | 5 | −4 | 7 |
| 8 | Muharraq | 4 | +1 | 5 |
| 9 | Al-Hidd | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | A'Ali | 5 | −4 | 4 |
| 11 | Manama | 5 | −8 | 2 |
| 12 | Malkiya | 4 | −5 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Al Riffa
Al Ittifaq Maqaba
Khalidiya
Sitra
Al Ahli
Al Najma
East Riffa
Al-Hidd
A'Ali
Manama