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Manama v Al Ahli

Manama
1–3Full time
Al Ahli

Premier League · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 20:02
Manama 1–3 Al Ahli AL AHLI WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Al Ahli win46%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.438

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay6 notes · 13 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Al Ahli win at 46%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Al Ahli 46% before kick-off, 47% now. 0–0 · 28–25–47
  3. 8′Little has changed for our model: Al Ahli 46% before kick-off, 46% now. 0–0 · 28–26–46
  4. 24′17′ and it is 0–1: Al Ahli have scored. 0–1 · 9–18–73
  5. 31′17′ and it is 0–1: Al Ahli have scored. 0–1 · 8–18–73
  6. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Al Ahli win: 46% at kick-off, 36% now
  7. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Al Ahli win: 46% at kick-off, 37% now
  8. 45′SECOND HALF Manama 1–1 Al Ahli
  9. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 46' Al Ahli win: 46% at kick-off, 37% now
  10. 47′Manama find the net on 41′. 1–1. 1–1 · 24–39–36
  11. 51′Manama find the net on 41′. 1–1. 1–1 · 25–38–37
  12. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Al Ahli win: 46% at kick-off, 36% now
  13. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Al Ahli win: 46% at kick-off, 37% now
  14. 53′⚽ GOAL · 53' Manama 1–2 Al Ahli
  15. 53′⚽ GOAL · 54' Manama 1–2 Al Ahli
  16. 65′⚽ GOAL · 65' Manama 1–3 Al Ahli
  17. 65′⚽ GOAL · 66' Manama 1–3 Al Ahli
  18. 78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Manama 2–3 Al Ahli
  19. 79′⚽ GOAL · 79' Manama 1–3 Al Ahli
  20. FTFULL TIME Manama 1–3 Al Ahli
  21. FTManama 1–3 Al Ahli · Al Ahli win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Manama win28%
Draw26%
Al Ahli win46%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 17:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · al ahli winPublished 10 Oct 17:01
46% The market–
Us46%

We make Al Ahli a 46% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Manama win28%––
Draw26%––
Al Ahli win46%––
Over 2.5 goals52%––
Both teams to score55%––
Over 1.5 goals76%––
Over 3.5 goals31%––
Manama or draw54%––
Manama clean sheet21%––
Al Ahli clean sheet31%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.0%
0123450 7.3 9.4 7.8 4.2 1 6.9 12.0 8.9 4.8 2 4.5 6.8 5.3 2.8 3 2.7 2.1 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Manama down, Al Ahli across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021
Goals a meeting2.75
Over 2.53 of 8
Both scored5 of 8
Last meetingsMAN 0–1 ALA · ALA 2–0 MAN · ALA 0–0 MAN · MAN 2–3 ALA

Form · last six in Premier League

MANAMA

WWLDLL1–0 · 3–0 · 2–3 · 1–1 · 1–5 · 1–3

AL AHLI

WLDDWL2–0 · 0–1 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 0–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Khalidiya4+78
2Al Riffa4+68
3Al Ittifaq Maqaba3+16
4Sitra3+35
5Muharraq4+15
6Al-Hidd3+14
7A'Ali3−14
8East Riffa3−14
9Al Ahli3−14
10Al Najma3−53
11Malkiya4−51
12Manama3−61

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.