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Malkiya v Al Riffa
Premier League · FRI 9 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Al Riffa win at 53%.
- 69′SECOND HALF Malkiya 0–1 Al Riffa
- 94′⚽ GOAL · 1' Malkiya 0–1 Al Riffa · D. Georgijevic
- 99′⚽ GOAL · 100' Malkiya 1–1 Al Riffa
- FTFULL TIME Malkiya 1–1 Al Riffa
- FTMalkiya 1–1 Al Riffa · Al Riffa win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
Match updates
Recorded match details below.
Timeline
Events will appear when the match starts.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
Match information
FRI 9 OCT · 17:00
The game so far
Recorded statisticsMatch statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Players on the pitch
Recorded line-upsLine-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Al Riffa a 53% chance to win. The market has them at 70%. We are 17 points less confident than the market. The model expects 0.8–1.5.
Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 69% to 70% in the same time.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Malkiya win | 20% | 11% | +9 |
| Draw | 27% | 19% | +8 |
| Al Riffa win | 53% | 70% | −17 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 58% | −17 |
| Both teams to score | 43% | 47% | −5 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67% | 78% | −11 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% | 37% | −16 |
| Malkiya or draw | 47% | 30% | +17 |
| Malkiya clean sheet | 23% | – | – |
| Al Riffa clean sheet | 45% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2025Form · last six in Premier League
MALKIYA
AL RIFFA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khalidiya | 3 | +7 | 7 |
| 2 | Al Riffa | 3 | +6 | 7 |
| 3 | Al Ittifaq Maqaba | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 4 | Sitra | 3 | +3 | 5 |
| 5 | Muharraq | 3 | +1 | 4 |
| 6 | Al-Hidd | 3 | +1 | 4 |
| 7 | A'Ali | 3 | −1 | 4 |
| 8 | East Riffa | 3 | −1 | 4 |
| 9 | Al Ahli | 3 | −1 | 4 |
| 10 | Al Najma | 3 | −5 | 3 |
| 11 | Manama | 3 | −6 | 1 |
| 12 | Malkiya | 3 | −5 | 0 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Khalidiya
Al Ittifaq Maqaba
Sitra
Muharraq
Al-Hidd
A'Ali
East Riffa
Al Ahli
Al Najma
Manama