Malkiya v Al Ahli

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Al Ahli win at 38%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Al Ahli 38% before kick-off, 38% now. 0–0 · 31–31–38
3. 1′KICK-OFF Malkiya v Al Ahli
4. 18′PENALTY MISSED · 18' Al Ahli
5. 29′We said Al Ahli at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 72%. 0–1 · 8–20–72
6. 29′⚽ GOAL · 29' Malkiya 0–1 Al Ahli
7. 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 29' Al Ahli win: 38% at kick-off, 72% now
8. 30′A goal for Al Ahli on 30′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 8–20–72
9. 31′The goal count is tracking the 2.2 we expected. 0–1 · 8–20–72
10. 44′We said Al Ahli at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 0–1 · 6–20–75
11. 45′SECOND HALF Malkiya 0–1 Al Ahli
12. 48′HALF-TIME Malkiya 0–1 Al Ahli
13. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' Al Ahli win: 38% at kick-off, 78% now
14. 61′We said Al Ahli at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 0–1 · 3–17–80
15. 71′We said Al Ahli at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 0–1 · 2–14–85
16. 76′We said Al Ahli at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 12–74–14
17. 76′⚽ GOAL · 76' Malkiya 1–1 Al Ahli
18. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Al Ahli win: 38% at kick-off, 14% now
19. 76′THE CALL SWINGS · 76' Draw is now our likeliest result at 74% (was Al Ahli win 87%)
20. 77′Malkiya score on 76′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 12–75–13
21. 82′We said Al Ahli at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 8–83–9
22. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Al Ahli win: 38% at kick-off, 8% now
23. 89′We said Al Ahli at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–92–4
24. 94′1–1 at the end. Our 38% on Al Ahli misses, and the record keeps it. 1–1 · 0–100–0
25. FTFULL TIME Malkiya 1–1 Al Ahli
26. FTMalkiya 1–1 Al Ahli · Al Ahli win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.