Khalidiya v Al Ittifaq Maqaba

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Khalidiya win at 56%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Khalidiya was 56% before kick-off and our model makes it 56% now. 0–0 · 56–24–20
3. 1′KICK-OFF Khalidiya v Al Ittifaq Maqaba
4. 23′A goal for Khalidiya on 23′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 80–14–6
5. 23′⚽ GOAL · 23' Khalidiya 1–0 Al Ittifaq Maqaba
6. 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Khalidiya win: 56% at kick-off, 80% now
7. 24′We published Khalidiya at 56%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–14–6
8. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.8 we expected. 1–0 · 80–14–5
9. 45′HALF-TIME Khalidiya 1–1 Al Ittifaq Maqaba
10. 46′Al Ittifaq Maqaba score on 45′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 43–38–19
11. 46′⚽ GOAL · 45+1' Khalidiya 1–1 Al Ittifaq Maqaba
12. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+1' Khalidiya win: 56% at kick-off, 43% now
13. 46′SECOND HALF Khalidiya 1–1 Al Ittifaq Maqaba
14. 47′We said Khalidiya at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 43%. 1–1 · 43–38–19
15. 54′We said Khalidiya at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–43–18
16. 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Khalidiya win 42%)
17. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' Khalidiya win: 56% at kick-off, 36% now
18. 61′Khalidiya find the net on 61′. 2–1. 2–1 · 84–14–2
19. 61′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 84–14–2
20. 61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Khalidiya 2–1 Al Ittifaq Maqaba
21. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 61' Khalidiya win: 56% at kick-off, 84% now
22. 61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Khalidiya win is now our likeliest result at 84% (was Draw 48%)
23. 64′We published Khalidiya at 56%. Our model now makes it 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–2
24. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 67' Khalidiya win: 56% at kick-off, 86% now
25. 72′PENALTY MISSED · 72' Khalidiya
26. 78′We published Khalidiya at 56%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
27. 80′A goal for Al Ittifaq Maqaba on 80′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 17–75–8
28. 80′We said Khalidiya at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 17%. 2–2 · 17–75–8
29. 80′⚽ GOAL · 80' Khalidiya 2–2 Al Ittifaq Maqaba
30. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Khalidiya win: 56% at kick-off, 17% now
31. 80′THE CALL SWINGS · 80' Draw is now our likeliest result at 75% (was Khalidiya win 91%)
32. 81′4 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 15–77–8
33. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Khalidiya win: 56% at kick-off, 15% now
34. 82′We said Khalidiya at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 14–79–7
35. 86′We said Khalidiya at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 9–86–5
36. 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' Khalidiya win: 56% at kick-off, 6% now
37. 92′We said Khalidiya at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–94–2
38. FTFULL TIME Khalidiya 2–2 Al Ittifaq Maqaba
39. FTKhalidiya 2–2 Al Ittifaq Maqaba · Khalidiya win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.