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East Riffa v A'Ali
East RiffaA'AliPremier League · SUN 11 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said East Riffa win at 35%.
- 2′Much as we predicted: East Riffa was 35% before kick-off and our model makes it 35% now. 0–0 · 35–31–34
- 3′Much as we predicted: East Riffa was 35% before kick-off and our model makes it 35% now. 0–0 · 35–31–34
- 43′A goal for A'Ali on 35′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 73–21–6
- 45′A goal for A'Ali on 35′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 73–21–6
- 46′We published East Riffa at 35%. Our model now makes it 74%. 1–0 · 74–20–6
- 51′We published East Riffa at 35%. Our model now makes it 75%. 1–0 · 75–20–5
- 70′68′ and it is 1–1: A'Ali have scored. 1–1 · 17–67–16
- 86′68′ and it is 1–1: A'Ali have scored. 1–1 · 4–91–4
- 90′East Riffa find the net on 90′. 2–1. 2–1 · 100–0–0
- 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' East Riffa win: 35% at kick-off, 17% now
- 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' East Riffa win: 35% at kick-off, 4% now
- 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90' East Riffa win: 35% at kick-off, 100% now
- 90′THE CALL SWINGS · 90' East Riffa win is now our likeliest result at 100% (was Draw 0%)
- 90′THE CALL SWINGS · 90' Draw is now our likeliest result at 91% (was East Riffa win 4%)
- FTFULL TIME East Riffa 2–1 A'Ali
- FTEast Riffa 2–1 A'Ali · East Riffa win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.
The model’s prediction on this page stays free.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
East Riffa win35%A'Ali win33%Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 17:00
Match timeline
All events
East RiffaMINA'AliEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · this competition
East Riffa
A'Ali
Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions of these teams
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | A'Ali | 3 | −1 | 4 |
| 9 | East Riffa | 3 | −1 | 4 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make East Riffa a 35% chance to win. The market has them at 37%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.0–1.0.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 37% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| East Riffa win | 35% | 37% | −2 |
| Draw | 32% | 32% | 0 |
| A'Ali win | 33% | 31% | +2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 34% | 37% | −3 |
| Both teams to score | 41% | 45% | −4 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 61% | 63% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 16% | 19% | −4 |
| East Riffa or draw | 67% | 69% | −2 |
| East Riffa clean sheet | 37% | – | – |
| A'Ali clean sheet | 36% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
3 meetings since 2023Form · last six in Premier League
EAST RIFFA
A'ALI
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Ittifaq Maqaba | 4 | +2 | 9 |
| 2 |  Khalidiya | 4 | +7 | 8 |
| 3 |  Al Riffa | 4 | +6 | 8 |
| 4 |  Al Ahli | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 5 |  Sitra | 3 | +3 | 5 |
| 6 |  Muharraq | 4 | +1 | 5 |
| 7 |  Al-Hidd | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | A'Ali | 3 | −1 | 4 |
| 9 | East Riffa | 3 | −1 | 4 |
| 10 |  Al Najma | 3 | −5 | 3 |
| 11 |  Malkiya | 4 | −5 | 1 |
| 12 |  Manama | 4 | −8 | 1 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.