Al Ittifaq Maqaba v Manama

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Al Ittifaq Maqaba win at 47%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Al Ittifaq Maqaba 47% before kick-off, 48% now. 0–0 · 48–26–26
3. 1′KICK-OFF Al Ittifaq Maqaba v Manama
4. 27′We said Al Ittifaq Maqaba at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 0–1 · 18–25–57
5. 27′⚽ GOAL · 27' Al Ittifaq Maqaba 0–1 Manama
6. 27′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 27' Al Ittifaq Maqaba win: 47% at kick-off, 18% now
7. 27′THE CALL SWINGS · 27' Manama win is now our likeliest result at 57% (was Al Ittifaq Maqaba win 18%)
8. 28′Manama find the net on 27′. 0–1. 0–1 · 17–25–57
9. 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 28' Al Ittifaq Maqaba win: 47% at kick-off, 17% now
10. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.6 we expected. 0–1 · 17–26–58
11. 38′We said Al Ittifaq Maqaba at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–26–60
12. 39′⚽ GOAL · 39' Al Ittifaq Maqaba 1–1 Manama
13. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' Al Ittifaq Maqaba win: 47% at kick-off, 40% now
14. 40′A goal for Al Ittifaq Maqaba on 40′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 39–37–24
15. 45′SECOND HALF Al Ittifaq Maqaba 1–1 Manama
16. 46′A. Mehri scores for Al Ittifaq Maqaba on 39′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 37–40–23
17. 48′THE CALL SWINGS · 48' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Manama win 22%)
18. 51′We said Al Ittifaq Maqaba at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 35%. 1–1 · 35–43–22
19. 53′We said Al Ittifaq Maqaba at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–44–21
20. 53′HALF-TIME Al Ittifaq Maqaba 1–1 Manama
21. 54′We said Al Ittifaq Maqaba at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 79%. 2–1 · 79–17–4
22. 54′3 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 79–17–4
23. 54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Al Ittifaq Maqaba 2–1 Manama
24. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 54' Al Ittifaq Maqaba win: 47% at kick-off, 79% now
25. 54′THE CALL SWINGS · 54' Al Ittifaq Maqaba win is now our likeliest result at 79% (was Draw 17%)
26. 55′Al Ittifaq Maqaba score on 54′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 79–17–4
27. 57′We said Al Ittifaq Maqaba at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 2–1 · 80–17–4
28. 71′We said Al Ittifaq Maqaba at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–2
29. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' Al Ittifaq Maqaba win: 47% at kick-off, 87% now
30. 79′We said Al Ittifaq Maqaba at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–10–1
31. 86′We said Al Ittifaq Maqaba at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
32. 89′We said Al Ittifaq Maqaba at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 6%. 2–2 · 6–91–4
33. 89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Al Ittifaq Maqaba 2–2 Manama
34. 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' Al Ittifaq Maqaba win: 47% at kick-off, 6% now
35. 89′THE CALL SWINGS · 89' Draw is now our likeliest result at 91% (was Al Ittifaq Maqaba win 6%)
36. 90′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.6 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 5–92–3
37. 90′Manama find the net on 90′. 2–2. 2–2 · 5–92–3
38. 91′We said Al Ittifaq Maqaba at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–93–3
39. FTFULL TIME Al Ittifaq Maqaba 2–2 Manama
40. FTAl Ittifaq Maqaba 2–2 Manama · Al Ittifaq Maqaba win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.