Al Ahli v Khalidiya

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Khalidiya win at 58%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Khalidiya was 58% before kick-off and our model makes it 57% now. 0–0 · 20–23–57
3. 1′KICK-OFF Al Ahli v Khalidiya
4. 11′Khalidiya find the net on 10′. 0–1. 0–1 · 7–13–80
5. 11′We published Khalidiya at 58%. Our model now makes it 80%. 0–1 · 7–13–80
6. 11′⚽ GOAL · 10' Al Ahli 0–1 Khalidiya
7. 11′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 11' Khalidiya win: 58% at kick-off, 80% now
8. 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.0 we expected. 0–1 · 6–14–80
9. 45′HALF-TIME Al Ahli 0–1 Khalidiya
10. 46′SECOND HALF Al Ahli 0–1 Khalidiya
11. 52′A red card for Al Ahli on 51′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–1 · 4–15–82
12. 52′🟥 RED CARD · 51' Al Ahli
13. 59′A goal for Al Ahli on 58′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 17–45–38
14. 59′We said Khalidiya at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 38%. 1–1 · 17–45–38
15. 59′⚽ GOAL · 58' Al Ahli 1–1 Khalidiya
16. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' Khalidiya win: 58% at kick-off, 38% now
17. 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Khalidiya win 38%)
18. 64′We said Khalidiya at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 16–50–34
19. 70′We said Khalidiya at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 14–57–29
20. 71′Khalidiya score on 71′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 1–12–86
21. 71′We published Khalidiya at 58%. Our model now makes it 86%. 1–2 · 1–12–86
22. 71′⚽ GOAL · 71' Al Ahli 1–2 Khalidiya
23. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 71' Khalidiya win: 58% at kick-off, 86% now
24. 71′THE CALL SWINGS · 71' Khalidiya win is now our likeliest result at 86% (was Draw 12%)
25. 72′That is 3, and we only asked for 3.0 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 1–12–87
26. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' Khalidiya win: 58% at kick-off, 88% now
27. 78′We published Khalidiya at 58%. Our model now makes it 90%. 1–2 · 1–9–90
28. 85′We published Khalidiya at 58%. Our model now makes it 95%. 1–2 · 0–5–95
29. 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+2' Khalidiya win: 58% at kick-off, 98% now
30. FTFULL TIME Al Ahli 1–2 Khalidiya
31. FTAl Ahli 1–2 Khalidiya · Khalidiya win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.