Turan v Sabah FA prediction · Premyer Liqa

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

TuranDrawSabah FA

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Sabah FA 50%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Sabah FA are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Turan 25%, draw 26%, Sabah FA 50%. Over 2.5 goals 44%, both teams to score 46%.

The AI’s read on Turan v Sabah FABefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Turan win25%

Draw26%

Sabah FA win50%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 14:30

RoundMatchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Turan

Sabah FA

6Days since last match10

Last match: 24 Oct · Premyer Liqa

Last match: 20 Oct · UEFA Champions League

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sabah fa winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

50% The market–

Us50%

We make Sabah FA a 50% chance to win. The model expects 0.9–1.5, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Turan v Sabah FA~~0.94 – 1.48

~~Form · last six in Premyer Liqa this season · since 31 Aug~~W3 D2 L1 · W5 D1 L0

~~Table places · points 14 v 19~~6 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Turan win	25%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Sabah FA win	50%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	44%	–	–
Both teams to score	46%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	69%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	23%	–	–
Turan or draw	50%	–	–
Turan clean sheet	23%	–	–
Sabah FA clean sheet	39%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 13.4%

0123450 8.9 13.4 9.6 4.8 1 8.7 11.9 8.9 4.4 2 4.0 5.7 4.2 2.1 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Turan down, Sabah FA across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 900 Premyer Liqa matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premyer Liqa matches have gone over 2.5 in 48.0% of games this season, across 50 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.70 goals a meeting; 5 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Turan at home: 1.00 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Sabah FA away: 2.17 scored, 0.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.94 goals for Turan, 1.48 for Sabah FA. Most likely score 0–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.70

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 10

~~Both scored~~8 of 10

~~Last meetings~~TUR 1–2 SAB · TUR 1–3 SAB · SAB 2–0 TUR · TUR 2–1 SAB

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Premyer Liqa this season · since 31 Aug

TURAN

WDWWLD2–1 · 2–2 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 1–1

SABAH FA

WWWWDW1–0 · 5–0 · 3–0 · 3–1 · 0–0 · 4–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Sabah FA	7	+17	19
2	Neftchi Baku	8	+13	17
3	Qarabag	7	+7	17
4	Zira	9	0	15
5	Kapaz	8	0	14
6	Turan	8	+2	14
7	Şamaxı FK	8	+3	13
8	Sumqayıt	8	−1	8
9	Qabala	9	−11	7
10	Imisli FK	8	−6	7
11	Safa Baku	9	−12	3
12	Araz	9	−12	2