Neftchi Baku v Turan

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Neftchi Baku win at 50%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Neftchi Baku 50% before kick-off, 49% now. 0–0 · 49–25–25
3. 1′KICK-OFF Neftchi Baku v Turan
4. 30′Neftchi Baku are down to ten from 30′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–0 · 43–33–24
5. 30′🟥 RED CARD · 30' Neftchi Baku
6. 38′SUBSTITUTION · 32' Neftchi Baku · On: E. Badalov · Off: A. Skribek
7. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Neftchi Baku win: 50% at kick-off, 40% now
8. 42′🟨 YELLOW · 42' Neftchi Baku
9. 45′A goal for Neftchi Baku on 44′. 0–0 · 38–40–22
10. 45′We said Neftchi Baku at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 38%. 0–0 · 38–40–22
11. 45′We said Neftchi Baku at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 78%. 1–0 · 78–17–5
12. 45′⚽ GOAL · 44' Neftchi Baku 1–0 Turan
13. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Neftchi Baku win: 50% at kick-off, 78% now
14. 45′HALF-TIME Neftchi Baku 1–0 Turan
15. 45′SECOND HALF Neftchi Baku 1–0 Turan
16. 46′The goal count is tracking the 2.5 we expected. 1–0 · 78–17–5
17. 47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Neftchi Baku · On: I. Mathew · Off: D. Savic
18. 52′🟨 YELLOW · 52' Turan
19. 53′We said Neftchi Baku at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–4
20. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 53' Neftchi Baku win: 50% at kick-off, 80% now
21. 66′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Turan · On: D. Tavares · Off: S. Beusnard
22. 66′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Turan · On: R. Olabe · Off: R. Mammadov
23. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Turan · On: A. Jankovic · Off: D. Balau
24. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Turan · On: D. Marandici · Off: Henrique Silva
25. 69′We said Neftchi Baku at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
26. 70′🟨 YELLOW · 69' Neftchi Baku
27. 73′Turan find the net on 73′. 1–0 · 87–12–1
28. 74′We said Neftchi Baku at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 20%. 1–1 · 20–67–13
29. 74′🟨 YELLOW · 73' Turan
30. 74′⚽ GOAL · 73' Neftchi Baku 1–1 Turan
31. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Neftchi Baku win: 50% at kick-off, 20% now
32. 74′THE CALL SWINGS · 74' Draw is now our likeliest result at 67% (was Neftchi Baku win 87%)
33. 75′We said Neftchi Baku at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–68–12
34. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Neftchi Baku · On: E. Safarov · Off: Breno Almeida
35. 80′We said Neftchi Baku at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–77–9
36. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Neftchi Baku · On: B. Sambou · Off: F. Vargas
37. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Neftchi Baku win: 50% at kick-off, 10% now
38. 84′We said Neftchi Baku at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–85–6
39. 86′🟨 YELLOW · 86' Neftchi Baku
40. 90′1–1 at the end. Our 50% on Neftchi Baku misses, and the record keeps it. 1–1 · 0–100–0
41. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 90' Turan
42. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Turan · On: R. Sadykhov · Off: I. Wadji
43. 91′We said Neftchi Baku at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–93–3
44. 94′SUBSTITUTION · 90+2' Neftchi Baku · On: D. Jubitana · Off: Gustavo Klismahn
45. FTFULL TIME Neftchi Baku 1–1 Turan
46. FTNeftchi Baku 1–1 Turan · Neftchi Baku win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.