Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.2

Home › Football › Cup › Şimal v Araz

Back
Azerbaijan flag

Şimal v Araz

Şimal
10:00Upcoming
Araz

Cup · TUE 27 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

ŞimalDrawAraz
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 10:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Araz 82%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Araz are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Şimal 6%, draw 12%, Araz 82%. Over 2.5 goals 73%, both teams to score 51%.

The AI’s read on Şimal v ArazBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Şimal win6%
Draw12%
Araz win82%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 10:00

RoundRound of 32

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Şimal

Araz

5Days since last match4

Last match: 22 Oct · Birinci Dasta

Last match: 23 Oct · Premyer Liqa

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · araz winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · updated 23 Oct 00:15 · locked at kick-off
82% The market–
Us82%

We make Araz an 82% chance to win. The model expects 0.8–3.0, and 0–3 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Şimal v Araz0.76 – 3.00

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
80%85%90% 21 OCT 00:0125 OCT 00:55
Our probability · Araz win

Published at 84%, 82% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Şimal win6%––
Draw12%––
Araz win82%––
Over 2.5 goals73%––
Both teams to score51%––
Over 1.5 goals89%––
Over 3.5 goals52%––
Şimal or draw18%––
Şimal clean sheet5%––
Araz clean sheet47%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–3 at 10.4%
0123450 2.5 6.8 10.4 10.4 7.8 4.71 5.5 8.0 8.0 6.0 3.62 2.0 3.0 3.0 2.3 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Şimal down, Araz across0–5 goals a side shown (91.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Cup this season

ŞIMAL

No matches in our record yet.

ARAZ

No matches in our record yet.