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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Cup › Qabala v Mingəçevir

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Qabala v Mingəçevir

Qabala
13:00Upcoming
Mingəçevir

Cup · TUE 27 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

QabalaDrawMingəçevir
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Qabala 71%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Qabala are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Qabala 71%, draw 19%, Mingəçevir 10%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 44%.

The AI’s read on Qabala v MingəçevirBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Qabala win71%
Draw19%
Mingəçevir win10%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 13:00

RoundRound of 32

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Qabala

Mingəçevir

4Days since last match6

Last match: 23 Oct · Premyer Liqa

Last match: 21 Oct · Birinci Dasta

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · qabala winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · updated 23 Oct 00:15 · locked at kick-off
71% The market–
Us71%

We make Qabala a 71% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–0.7, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Qabala v Mingəçevir2.17 – 0.68

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
65%70%75% 21 OCT 00:0125 OCT 01:05
Our probability · Qabala win

Published at 72%, 71% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Qabala win71%––
Draw19%––
Mingəçevir win10%––
Over 2.5 goals54%––
Both teams to score44%––
Over 1.5 goals78%––
Over 3.5 goals32%––
Qabala or draw90%––
Qabala clean sheet51%––
Mingəçevir clean sheet11%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 13.6%
0123450 6.1 3.7 1 12.3 8.8 2.9 2 13.6 9.3 3.1 3 9.8 6.7 2.3 4 5.3 3.6 5 2.3
under 2% 5% 12%+Qabala down, Mingəçevir across0–5 goals a side shown (97.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2022/23
Goals a meeting2.80
Over 2.51 of 5
Both scored1 of 5
Last meetingsQAB 2–0 MIN · QAB 5–1 MIN · QAB 2–0 MIN · MIN 0–2 QAB

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Cup this season

QABALA

No matches in our record yet.

MINGƏÇEVIR

No matches in our record yet.