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Model 1.2

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MOIK v Şahdağ

MOIK
10:00Upcoming
Şahdağ

Cup · WED 28 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

MOIKDrawŞahdağ
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 10:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Şahdağ 40%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Şahdağ are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: MOIK 31%, draw 28%, Şahdağ 40%. Over 2.5 goals 42%, both teams to score 47%.

The AI’s read on MOIK v ŞahdağBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

MOIK win31%
Draw28%
Şahdağ win40%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 10:00

RoundRound of 32

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

MOIK

Şahdağ

6Days since last match7

Last match: 22 Oct · Birinci Dasta

Last match: 21 Oct · Birinci Dasta

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · şahdağ winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · updated 23 Oct 00:15 · locked at kick-off
40% The market–
Us40%

We make Şahdağ a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · MOIK v Şahdağ1.09 – 1.29

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45% 22 OCT 00:0125 OCT 02:51
Our probability · Şahdağ win

Published at 43%, 40% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
MOIK win31%––
Draw28%––
Şahdağ win40%––
Over 2.5 goals42%––
Both teams to score47%––
Over 1.5 goals68%––
Over 3.5 goals22%––
MOIK or draw60%––
MOIK clean sheet29%––
Şahdağ clean sheet35%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.8%
0123450 10.5 11.7 7.6 3.4 1 9.9 12.8 7.8 3.4 2 5.6 6.7 4.2 3 2.1 2.6 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+MOIK down, Şahdağ across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2025/26
Goals a meeting1.75
Over 2.51 of 4
Both scored2 of 4
Last meetingsMOI 0–1 SAH · MOI 0–1 SAH · SAH 1–1 MOI · MOI 1–2 SAH

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Cup this season

MOIK

No matches in our record yet.

ŞAHDAĞ

No matches in our record yet.