Xankəndi FK v Şahdağ

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Şahdağ win at 49%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Şahdağ was 49% before kick-off and our model makes it 50% now. 0–0 · 24–26–50
3. 1′KICK-OFF Xankəndi FK v Şahdağ
4. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Şahdağ win: 49% at kick-off, 39% now
5. 45′HALF-TIME Xankəndi FK 0–0 Şahdağ
6. 46′SECOND HALF Xankəndi FK 0–0 Şahdağ
7. 47′We said Şahdağ at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 37%. 0–0 · 21–42–37
8. 47′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+2' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Şahdağ win 37%)
9. 54′We said Şahdağ at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 19–46–34
10. 55′We expected about 2.5 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 19–47–34
11. 63′We said Şahdağ at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 17–54–29
12. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Şahdağ win: 49% at kick-off, 29% now
13. 70′We said Şahdağ at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 14–62–24
14. 75′We said Şahdağ at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 12–69–19
15. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Şahdağ win: 49% at kick-off, 19% now
16. 80′We said Şahdağ at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 9–77–14
17. 84′We said Şahdağ at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 6–85–9
18. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Şahdağ win: 49% at kick-off, 9% now
19. 88′Xankəndi FK score on 88′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 94–6–0
20. 88′⚽ GOAL · 88' Xankəndi FK 1–0 Şahdağ
21. 88′THE CALL SWINGS · 88' Xankəndi FK win is now our likeliest result at 94% (was Draw 6%)
22. 89′We said Şahdağ at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at under 1%. 1–0 · 94–5–0
23. FTFULL TIME Xankəndi FK 1–0 Şahdağ
24. FTXankəndi FK 1–0 Şahdağ · Şahdağ win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.