Swarovski Tirol II v Kufstein prediction · Regionalliga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Swarovski Tirol IIDrawKufstein

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Swarovski Tirol II 61%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Swarovski Tirol II are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Swarovski Tirol II 61%, draw 20%, Kufstein 19%. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 63%.

The AI’s read on Swarovski Tirol II v KufsteinBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Swarovski Tirol II win61%

Draw20%

Kufstein win19%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 13:30

RoundWest · matchday 14

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Swarovski Tirol II

Kufstein

7Days since last match8

Last match: 24 Oct · the Austrian Regionalliga - West

Last match: 23 Oct · the Austrian Regionalliga - West

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Swarovski Tirol II	13	+11	20
12	Kufstein	13	+1	14

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · swarovski tirol ii winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

61% The market–

Us61%

We make Swarovski Tirol II a 61% chance to win. The model expects 2.3–1.2, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Swarovski Tirol II v Kufstein~~2.32 – 1.22

~~Form · last six in Regionalliga - West this season · since 19 Sept~~W3 D1 L2 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 20 v 14~~7 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Swarovski Tirol II win	61%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Kufstein win	19%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	68%	–	–
Both teams to score	63%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	47%	–	–
Swarovski Tirol II or draw	81%	–	–
Swarovski Tirol II clean sheet	30%	–	–
Kufstein clean sheet	10%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.2%

0123450 3.5 3.5 2.3 1 6.7 8.5 5.0 2.0 2 7.8 9.2 5.6 2.3 3 6.0 7.1 4.3 4 3.5 4.1 2.5 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Swarovski Tirol II down, Kufstein across0–5 goals a side shown (96.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,097 Regionalliga - West matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Regionalliga - West matches have gone over 2.5 in 74.0% of games this season, across 104 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2020 in every competition we cover, 3.67 goals a meeting; 4 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Swarovski Tirol II at home: 3.17 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Kufstein away: 1.00 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.32 goals for Swarovski Tirol II, 1.22 for Kufstein. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2020

~~Goals a meeting~~3.67

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 6

~~Both scored~~4 of 6

~~Last meetings~~SWA 1–1 KUF · KUF 2–0 SWA · KUF 4–1 SWA · SWA 1–2 KUF

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Regionalliga - West this season · since 19 Sept

SWAROVSKI TIROL II

WWWLDL6–0 · 4–3 · 6–1 · 3–4 · 2–2 · 2–5

KUFSTEIN

LLLWDW1–2 · 1–3 · 1–2 · 4–0 · 0–0 · 3–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Imst	13	+18	31
2	Schwaz	13	+13	31
3	Hohenems	13	+17	30
4	Kitzbühel	13	+10	25
5	Dornbirn	13	+12	24
6	Röthis	13	+4	24
7	Swarovski Tirol II	13	+11	20
8	SK St. Johann	13	+2	18
9	Fügen	13	−7	16
10	Lauterach	13	−3	15
11	SVG Reichenau	13	−5	15
12	Kufstein	13	+1	14
13	Lochau	13	−15	11
14	Rheindorf Altach II	13	−14	9
15	Lustenau	13	−21	7
16	Wolfurt	13	−23	4