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SVG Reichenau v Kitzbühel

SVG Reichenau

3–1Full time

Kitzbühel

Regionalliga - West · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 16:06

SVG Reichenau 3–1 Kitzbühel SVG REICHENAU WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said SVG Reichenau win~~39%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.564

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

SVG Reichenau win39%

Draw26%

Kitzbühel win35%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 13:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · svg reichenau winPublished 10 Oct 15:43

39% The market–

Us39%

We make SVG Reichenau a 39% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
SVG Reichenau win	39%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Kitzbühel win	35%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	51%	–	–
Both teams to score	54%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	75%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	29%	–	–
SVG Reichenau or draw	65%	–	–
SVG Reichenau clean sheet	27%	–	–
Kitzbühel clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.2%

0123450 7.2 8.5 5.8 2.6 1 9.0 12.2 7.8 3.5 2 6.5 8.3 5.4 2.4 3 3.1 3.9 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+SVG Reichenau down, Kitzbühel across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,073 Regionalliga - West matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Regionalliga - West matches have gone over 2.5 in 71.2% of games this season, across 80 played.

Head to head

4 previous meetings, 3.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

SVG Reichenau at home: 1.67 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Kitzbühel away: 2.00 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.40 goals for SVG Reichenau, 1.32 for Kitzbühel. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~SVG 1–0 KIT · KIT 3–1 SVG · SVG 5–1 KIT · KIT 0–1 SVG

Form · last six in Regionalliga - West

SVG REICHENAU

WDDLLL2–1 · 0–0 · 2–2 · 0–2 · 0–3 · 1–2

KITZBÜHEL

LWLWWW1–3 · 3–2 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 4–0 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Hohenems	10	+18	27
2	Imst	10	+10	22
3	Schwaz	10	+7	22
4	Kitzbühel	10	+11	21
5	Dornbirn	10	+13	20
6	SK St. Johann	10	+7	18
7	Swarovski Tirol II	10	+10	16
8	Röthis	10	+1	15
9	Fügen	10	−6	13
10	SVG Reichenau	10	−8	9
11	Lochau	10	−13	8
12	Kufstein	10	−5	7
13	Wolfurt	10	−12	7
14	Lustenau	10	−14	7
15	Lauterach	10	−9	6
16	Rheindorf Altach II	10	−10	6