SVG Reichenau v Hohenems prediction · Regionalliga

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 16:43

SVG Reichenau 3–0 Hohenems HOHENEMS WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Hohenems win~~43%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.697

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Hohenems are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: SVG Reichenau 33%, draw 24%, Hohenems 43%. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 62%.

The AI’s read on SVG Reichenau v HohenemsBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

SVG Reichenau win33%

Draw24%

Hohenems win43%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:00

RoundWest · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

SVG Reichenau

Hohenems

8Days since last match8

Last match: 10 Oct · the Austrian Regionalliga - West

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hohenems winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

43% The market–

Us43%

We make Hohenems a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · SVG Reichenau v Hohenems~~1.44 – 1.70

~~Form · last six in Regionalliga - West this season · since 5 Sept~~W1 D2 L3 · W5 D0 L1

~~Table places · points 12 v 27~~10 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
SVG Reichenau win	33%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Hohenems win	43%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	60%	–	–
Both teams to score	62%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	82%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	38%	–	–
SVG Reichenau or draw	57%	–	–
SVG Reichenau clean sheet	19%	–	–
Hohenems clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.7%

0123450 4.9 7.1 6.2 3.6 1 6.0 10.7 8.7 4.9 2.2 2 4.6 7.5 6.2 3.5 3 2.2 3.7 3.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+SVG Reichenau down, Hohenems across0–5 goals a side shown (98.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,084 Regionalliga - West matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Regionalliga - West matches have gone over 2.5 in 73.6% of games this season, across 91 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 7 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.14 goals a meeting; 4 of 7 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

SVG Reichenau at home: 1.50 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Hohenems away: 3.17 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.44 goals for SVG Reichenau, 1.70 for Hohenems. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

7 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.14

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 7

~~Both scored~~3 of 7

~~Last meetings~~HOH 0–1 SVG · SVG 3–0 HOH · SVG 4–1 HOH · HOH 4–2 SVG

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Regionalliga - West this season · since 5 Sept

SVG REICHENAU

DDLLLW0–0 · 2–2 · 0–2 · 0–3 · 1–2 · 3–1

HOHENEMS

WWWWWL3–1 · 2–1 · 2–0 · 3–1 · 2–1 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Hohenems	11	+17	27
2	Imst	11	+15	25
3	Schwaz	11	+8	25
4	Dornbirn	12	+14	24
5	Kitzbühel	12	+9	22
6	Röthis	12	+3	21
7	Swarovski Tirol II	12	+14	20
8	SK St. Johann	11	+6	18
9	Fügen	12	−6	16
10	SVG Reichenau	11	−6	12
11	Kufstein	12	−1	11
12	Lochau	12	−13	11
13	Lauterach	11	−7	9
14	Lustenau	12	−20	7
15	Rheindorf Altach II	11	−14	6
16	Wolfurt	11	−19	4