SK St. Johann v Lauterach prediction · Regionalliga

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 16:43

SK St. Johann 1–3 Lauterach SK ST. JOHANN WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said SK St. Johann win~~68%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.214

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

SK St. Johann are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: SK St. Johann 68%, draw 17%, Lauterach 15%. Over 2.5 goals 73%, both teams to score 63%.

The AI’s read on SK St. Johann v LauterachBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

SK St. Johann win68%

Draw17%

Lauterach win15%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:00

RoundWest · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

SK St. Johann

Lauterach

7Days since last match8

Last match: 11 Oct · the Austrian Regionalliga - West

Last match: 10 Oct · the Austrian Regionalliga - West

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	SK St. Johann	11	+6	18
13	Lauterach	11	−7	9

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sk st. johann winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

68% The market–

Us68%

We make SK St. Johann a 68% chance to win. The model expects 2.6–1.2, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · SK St. Johann v Lauterach~~2.65 – 1.17

~~Form · last six in Regionalliga - West this season · since 4 Sept~~W3 D2 L1 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 18 v 9~~8 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
SK St. Johann win	68%	–	–
Draw	17%	–	–
Lauterach win	15%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	73%	–	–
Both teams to score	63%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	89%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	52%	–	–
SK St. Johann or draw	85%	–	–
SK St. Johann clean sheet	32%	–	–
Lauterach clean sheet	8%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.8%

0123450 2.7 2.5 1 5.8 7.1 4.0 2 7.7 8.8 5.1 2.0 3 6.7 7.6 4.4 4 4.4 5.0 2.9 5 2.4 2.7

under 2% 5% 12%+SK St. Johann down, Lauterach across0–5 goals a side shown (93.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,084 Regionalliga - West matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Regionalliga - West matches have gone over 2.5 in 73.6% of games this season, across 91 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

SK St. Johann at home: 2.33 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Lauterach away: 1.17 scored, 3.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.65 goals for SK St. Johann, 1.17 for Lauterach. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Regionalliga - West this season · since 4 Sept

SK ST. JOHANN

WDWDWL1–0 · 0–0 · 3–1 · 1–1 · 5–1 · 1–2

LAUTERACH

DDLWLW2–2 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 3–0 · 1–6 · 4–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Hohenems	11	+17	27
2	Imst	11	+15	25
3	Schwaz	11	+8	25
4	Dornbirn	12	+14	24
5	Kitzbühel	12	+9	22
6	Röthis	12	+3	21
7	Swarovski Tirol II	12	+14	20
8	SK St. Johann	11	+6	18
9	Fügen	12	−6	16
10	SVG Reichenau	11	−6	12
11	Kufstein	12	−1	11
12	Lochau	12	−13	11
13	Lauterach	11	−7	9
14	Lustenau	12	−20	7
15	Rheindorf Altach II	11	−14	6
16	Wolfurt	11	−19	4