Röthis v SK St. Johann prediction · Regionalliga

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 15:46

Röthis 2–1 SK St. Johann SK ST. JOHANN WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said SK St. Johann win~~43%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.660

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay6 notes · 26 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said SK St. Johann win at 43%.
1′Much as we predicted: SK St. Johann was 43% before kick-off and our model makes it 43% now. 0–0 · 35–23–43
1′KICK-OFF Röthis v SK St. Johann
3′Much as we predicted: SK St. Johann was 43% before kick-off and our model makes it 43% now. 0–0 · 34–23–43
14′⚽ GOAL · 14' Röthis 0–1 SK St. Johann
15′⚽ GOAL · 15' Röthis 0–1 SK St. Johann
16′⚽ GOAL · 16' Röthis 0–1 SK St. Johann
17′⚽ GOAL · 17' Röthis 0–1 SK St. Johann
19′⚽ GOAL · 19' Röthis 0–1 SK St. Johann
22′⚽ GOAL · 22' Röthis 0–1 SK St. Johann
23′We published SK St. Johann at 43%. Our model now makes it 67%. 0–1 · 14–19–67
23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' SK St. Johann win: 43% at kick-off, 67% now
23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' SK St. Johann win: 43% at kick-off, 43% now
24′We published SK St. Johann at 43%. Our model now makes it 67%. 0–1 · 14–19–67
24′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 24' SK St. Johann win: 43% at kick-off, 67% now
24′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 24' SK St. Johann win: 43% at kick-off, 43% now
28′⚽ GOAL · 28' Röthis 0–1 SK St. Johann
44′We published SK St. Johann at 43%. Our model now makes it 70%. 0–1 · 10–20–70
45′We published SK St. Johann at 43%. Our model now makes it 70%. 0–1 · 10–21–70
45′HALF-TIME Röthis 0–1 SK St. Johann
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' SK St. Johann win: 43% at kick-off, 70% now
46′SECOND HALF Röthis 0–1 SK St. Johann
61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Röthis 0–1 SK St. Johann
62′⚽ GOAL · 62' Röthis 0–1 SK St. Johann
64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Röthis 0–1 SK St. Johann
65′⚽ GOAL · 65' Röthis 0–1 SK St. Johann
66′⚽ GOAL · 66' Röthis 0–1 SK St. Johann
67′⚽ GOAL · 67' Röthis 0–1 SK St. Johann
71′⚽ GOAL · 71' Röthis 0–1 SK St. Johann
72′⚽ GOAL · 72' Röthis 0–1 SK St. Johann
90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Röthis 1–1 SK St. Johann
90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Röthis 2–1 SK St. Johann
FTFULL TIME Röthis 2–1 SK St. Johann
FTRöthis 2–1 SK St. Johann · SK St. Johann win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Röthis win35%

Draw23%

SK St. Johann win43%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 13:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Röthis

SK St. Johann

8Days since last match8

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	SK St. Johann	10	+7	18
8	Röthis	10	+1	15

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sk st. johann winPublished 11 Oct 13:14

43% The market–

Us43%

We make SK St. Johann a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Röthis win	35%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
SK St. Johann win	43%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	66%	–	–
Both teams to score	66%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	44%	–	–
Röthis or draw	57%	–	–
Röthis clean sheet	17%	–	–
SK St. Johann clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.6%

0123450 3.9 5.9 5.4 3.3 1 5.2 9.6 8.3 5.0 2.3 2 4.3 7.4 6.5 3.9 3 2.4 4.0 3.5 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Röthis down, SK St. Johann across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,080 Regionalliga - West matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Regionalliga - West matches have gone over 2.5 in 73.6% of games this season, across 87 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Röthis at home: 2.17 scored, 2.50 conceded a game (last 6). SK St. Johann away: 1.00 scored, 0.25 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

1.61 goals for Röthis, 1.81 for SK St. Johann. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Regionalliga - West

RÖTHIS

DDDWLW0–0 · 3–3 · 2–2 · 2–0 · 3–4 · 3–0

SK ST. JOHANN

WWDWDW2–1 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 3–1 · 1–1 · 5–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Hohenems	11	+17	27
2	Imst	11	+15	25
3	Schwaz	11	+8	25
4	Dornbirn	11	+14	23
5	Kitzbühel	11	+9	21
6	SK St. Johann	10	+7	18
7	Swarovski Tirol II	11	+9	16
8	Röthis	10	+1	15
9	Fügen	11	−7	13
10	SVG Reichenau	11	−6	12
11	Lochau	11	−12	11
12	Kufstein	11	−1	10
13	Lauterach	11	−7	9
14	Wolfurt	11	−14	7
15	Lustenau	11	−19	7
16	Rheindorf Altach II	11	−14	6