Röthis v Lustenau prediction · Regionalliga

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 17:24

Röthis 4–3 Lustenau RÖTHIS WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Röthis win~~59%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.247

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Röthis are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Röthis 59%, draw 18%, Lustenau 22%. Over 2.5 goals 79%, both teams to score 73%.

The AI’s read on Röthis v LustenauBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Röthis win59%

Draw18%

Lustenau win22%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00

RoundWest · matchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Röthis

Lustenau

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · the Austrian Regionalliga - West

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Röthis	12	+3	21
15	Lustenau	12	−20	7

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · röthis winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

59% The market–

Us59%

We make Röthis a 59% chance to win. The model expects 2.7–1.6, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Röthis v Lustenau~~2.65 – 1.60

~~Form · last six in Regionalliga - West this season · since 12 Sept~~W4 D1 L1 · W1 D2 L3

~~Table places · points 21 v 7~~6 v 15

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Röthis win	59%	–	–
Draw	18%	–	–
Lustenau win	22%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	79%	–	–
Both teams to score	73%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	92%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	61%	–	–
Röthis or draw	78%	–	–
Röthis clean sheet	21%	–	–
Lustenau clean sheet	8%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 7.8%

0123450 2.3 1 3.8 6.3 4.8 2.6 2 5.1 7.8 6.1 3.3 3 4.4 6.8 5.3 2.9 4 2.9 4.5 3.5 5 2.5

under 2% 5% 12%+Röthis down, Lustenau across0–5 goals a side shown (93.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,094 Regionalliga - West matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Regionalliga - West matches have gone over 2.5 in 74.3% of games this season, across 101 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2021/22.

Home and away form

Röthis at home: 2.50 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). Lustenau away: 1.17 scored, 3.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.65 goals for Röthis, 1.60 for Lustenau. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Regionalliga - West this season · since 12 Sept

RÖTHIS

DWLWWW2–2 · 2–0 · 3–4 · 3–0 · 2–1 · 2–1

LUSTENAU

LWDDLL1–3 · 3–2 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 2–7 · 3–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Imst	13	+18	31
2	Schwaz	13	+13	31
3	Hohenems	12	+14	27
4	Kitzbühel	13	+10	25
5	Dornbirn	13	+12	24
6	Röthis	12	+3	21
7	Swarovski Tirol II	12	+14	20
8	SK St. Johann	13	+2	18
9	Fügen	13	−7	16
10	SVG Reichenau	13	−5	15
11	Kufstein	13	+1	14
12	Lauterach	12	−5	12
13	Lochau	12	−13	11
14	Rheindorf Altach II	13	−14	9
15	Lustenau	12	−20	7
16	Wolfurt	13	−23	4