Lochau v Schwaz prediction · Regionalliga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

LochauDrawSchwaz

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Schwaz 48%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Schwaz are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Lochau 30%, draw 21%, Schwaz 48%. Over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 69%.

The AI’s read on Lochau v SchwazBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Lochau win30%

Draw21%

Schwaz win48%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 13:00

RoundWest · matchday 14

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Lochau

Schwaz

7Days since last match8

Last match: 24 Oct · the Austrian Regionalliga - West

Last match: 23 Oct · the Austrian Regionalliga - West

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Schwaz	13	+13	31
13	Lochau	13	−15	11

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · schwaz winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

48% The market–

Us48%

We make Schwaz a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–2.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Lochau v Schwaz~~1.61 – 2.07

~~Form · last six in Regionalliga - West this season · since 19 Sept~~W1 D1 L4 · W6 D0 L0

~~Table places · points 11 v 31~~13 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Lochau win	30%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Schwaz win	48%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	70%	–	–
Both teams to score	69%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	88%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	50%	–	–
Lochau or draw	52%	–	–
Lochau clean sheet	13%	–	–
Schwaz clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.7%

0123450 3.1 5.2 5.4 3.7 1 4.0 8.7 8.4 5.7 3.0 2 3.4 6.7 6.7 4.5 2.4 3 3.6 3.6 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Lochau down, Schwaz across0–5 goals a side shown (96.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,097 Regionalliga - West matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Regionalliga - West matches have gone over 2.5 in 74.0% of games this season, across 104 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2020/21.

Home and away form

Lochau at home: 1.67 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Schwaz away: 3.00 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.61 goals for Lochau, 2.07 for Schwaz. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2020/21

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2020/21.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Regionalliga - West this season · since 19 Sept

LOCHAU

LLDWLL1–3 · 0–3 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 0–2

SCHWAZ

WWWWWW4–2 · 3–0 · 2–1 · 4–3 · 5–2 · 3–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Imst	13	+18	31
2	Schwaz	13	+13	31
3	Hohenems	13	+17	30
4	Kitzbühel	13	+10	25
5	Dornbirn	13	+12	24
6	Röthis	13	+4	24
7	Swarovski Tirol II	13	+11	20
8	SK St. Johann	13	+2	18
9	Fügen	13	−7	16
10	Lauterach	13	−3	15
11	SVG Reichenau	13	−5	15
12	Kufstein	13	+1	14
13	Lochau	13	−15	11
14	Rheindorf Altach II	13	−14	9
15	Lustenau	13	−21	7
16	Wolfurt	13	−23	4