Lochau v Röthis

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Lochau win at 49%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Lochau was 49% before kick-off and our model makes it 49% now. 0–0 · 49–21–30
3. 1′KICK-OFF Lochau v Röthis
4. 45′HALF-TIME Lochau 0–0 Röthis
5. 46′SECOND HALF Lochau 0–0 Röthis
6. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Lochau win: 49% at kick-off, 39% now
7. 53′We published Lochau at 49%. Our model now makes it 73%. 1–0 · 73–19–8
8. 53′⚽ GOAL · 53' Lochau 1–0 Röthis
9. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 53' Lochau win: 49% at kick-off, 73% now
10. 56′We said Lochau at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 37%. 0–0 · 37–37–26 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
11. 56′We expected about 3.9 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 37–37–26 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
12. 59′We published Lochau at 49%. Our model now makes it 75%. 1–0 · 75–19–6
13. 60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Lochau 1–1 Röthis
14. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 60' Lochau win: 49% at kick-off, 35% now
15. 60′THE CALL SWINGS · 60' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Lochau win 35%)
16. 61′We said Lochau at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–41–25
17. 69′We said Lochau at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–49–21
18. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Lochau win: 49% at kick-off, 29% now
19. 75′We said Lochau at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–58–18
20. 79′We said Lochau at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–66–15
21. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Lochau win: 49% at kick-off, 19% now
22. 83′We said Lochau at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–76–10
23. 88′We said Lochau at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–85–7
24. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' Lochau win: 49% at kick-off, 9% now
25. 92′We said Lochau at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at under 1%. 1–2 · 0–4–95
26. 92′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Lochau 1–2 Röthis
27. 92′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+2' Röthis win is now our likeliest result at 95% (was Draw 4%)
28. 100′GOAL DISALLOWED · 90+10' Lochau
29. 100′GOAL DISALLOWED · 90+10' Röthis
30. 100′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+10' Draw is now our likeliest result at 96% (was Röthis win 2%)
31. FTFULL TIME Lochau 1–2 Röthis
32. FTLochau 1–2 Röthis · Lochau win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.