Lauterach v Lochau prediction · Regionalliga

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 18:08

Lauterach 2–0 Lochau LAUTERACH WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Lauterach win~~50%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.382

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 19 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Lauterach win at 50%.
1′Much as we predicted: Lauterach was 50% before kick-off and our model makes it 50% now. 0–0 · 50–20–30
1′KICK-OFF Lauterach v Lochau
45′HALF-TIME Lauterach 0–0 Lochau
46′SECOND HALF Lauterach 0–0 Lochau
49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Lauterach win: 50% at kick-off, 40% now
55′We said Lauterach at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 38%. 0–0 · 38–36–26
55′We expected about 4.0 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 38–36–26
61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Lauterach win 37%)
63′We said Lauterach at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–42–24
68′We published Lauterach at 50%. Our model now makes it 78%. 1–0 · 78–18–4
68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Lauterach 1–0 Lochau
68′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 68' Lauterach win: 50% at kick-off, 78% now
68′THE CALL SWINGS · 68' Lauterach win is now our likeliest result at 78% (was Draw 46%)
72′We published Lauterach at 50%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–3
72′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 72' Lauterach win: 50% at kick-off, 80% now
79′We published Lauterach at 50%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
79′We published Lauterach at 50%. Our model now makes it 98%. 2–0 · 98–1–0
79′⚽ GOAL · 79' Lauterach 2–0 Lochau
79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' Lauterach win: 50% at kick-off, 98% now
82′GOAL DISALLOWED · 82' Lauterach
82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Lauterach win: 50% at kick-off, 16% now
82′THE CALL SWINGS · 82' Draw is now our likeliest result at 72% (was Lauterach win 99%)
83′⚽ GOAL · 83' Lauterach 2–0 Lochau
83′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 83' Lauterach win: 50% at kick-off, 99% now
83′THE CALL SWINGS · 83' Lauterach win is now our likeliest result at 99% (was Draw 72%)
85′We published Lauterach at 50%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
85′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 85' Lauterach win: 50% at kick-off, over 99% now
FTFULL TIME Lauterach 2–0 Lochau
FTLauterach 2–0 Lochau · Lauterach win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Lauterach are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Lauterach 50%, draw 20%, Lochau 30%. Over 2.5 goals 75%, both teams to score 73%.

The AI’s read on Lauterach v LochauBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Lauterach win50%

Draw20%

Lochau win30%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00

RoundWest · matchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Lauterach

Lochau

6Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · the Austrian Regionalliga - West

Last match: 17 Oct · the Austrian Regionalliga - West

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
12	Lauterach	12	−5	12
13	Lochau	12	−13	11

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · lauterach winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:12 · locked at kick-off

50% The market–

Us50%

We make Lauterach a 50% chance to win. The model expects 2.3–1.7, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Lauterach v Lochau~~2.27 – 1.74

~~Form · last six in Regionalliga - West this season · since 12 Sept~~W3 D1 L2 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 12 v 11~~12 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Lauterach win

Published at 48%, 50% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Lauterach win	50%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Lochau win	30%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	75%	–	–
Both teams to score	73%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	91%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	56%	–	–
Lauterach or draw	70%	–	–
Lauterach clean sheet	18%	–	–
Lochau clean sheet	11%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 7.9%

0123450 2.3 3.1 2.8 1 4.1 7.4 6.1 3.5 2 4.8 7.9 6.7 3.9 3 3.6 5.9 5.1 2.9 4 2.1 3.4 2.9 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Lauterach down, Lochau across0–5 goals a side shown (95.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,094 Regionalliga - West matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Regionalliga - West matches have gone over 2.5 in 74.3% of games this season, across 101 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 5.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Lauterach at home: 2.00 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Lochau away: 1.00 scored, 3.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.27 goals for Lauterach, 1.74 for Lochau. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~5.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~LOC 3–5 LAU · LAU 1–1 LOC

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Regionalliga - West this season · since 12 Sept

LAUTERACH

DLWLWW1–1 · 0–1 · 3–0 · 1–6 · 4–2 · 3–1

LOCHAU

WLLDWL3–2 · 1–3 · 0–3 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Imst	13	+18	31
2	Schwaz	13	+13	31
3	Hohenems	12	+14	27
4	Kitzbühel	13	+10	25
5	Dornbirn	13	+12	24
6	Röthis	12	+3	21
7	Swarovski Tirol II	12	+14	20
8	SK St. Johann	13	+2	18
9	Fügen	13	−7	16
10	SVG Reichenau	13	−5	15
11	Kufstein	13	+1	14
12	Lauterach	12	−5	12
13	Lochau	12	−13	11
14	Rheindorf Altach II	13	−14	9
15	Lustenau	12	−20	7
16	Wolfurt	13	−23	4