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Kufstein v SVG Reichenau
Kufstein
SVG ReichenauRegionalliga - West · FRI 23 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Kufstein win at 37%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Kufstein 37% before kick-off, 37% now. 0–0 · 37–28–35
- 1′KICK-OFF Kufstein v SVG Reichenau
- 28′We said Kufstein at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 68%. 1–0 · 68–21–11
- 28′⚽ GOAL · 28' Kufstein 1–0 SVG Reichenau
- 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 28' Kufstein win: 37% at kick-off, 68% now
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.5 we expected. 1–0 · 68–21–11
- 38′We said Kufstein at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 1–0 · 70–21–9
- 45′HALF-TIME Kufstein 1–0 SVG Reichenau
- 46′SECOND HALF Kufstein 1–0 SVG Reichenau
- 57′We said Kufstein at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–20–5
- 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 61' Kufstein win: 37% at kick-off, 77% now
- 61′GOAL DISALLOWED · 61' Kufstein
- 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Kufstein win: 37% at kick-off, 24% now
- 61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Draw is now our likeliest result at 52% (was Kufstein win 77%)
- 61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Kufstein 1–0 SVG Reichenau
- 61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Kufstein win is now our likeliest result at 77% (was Draw 52%)
- 62′⚽ GOAL · 62' Kufstein 1–1 SVG Reichenau
- 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Kufstein win: 37% at kick-off, 24% now
- 62′THE CALL SWINGS · 62' Draw is now our likeliest result at 53% (was Kufstein win 77%)
- 66′3 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 79–18–3
- 66′⚽ GOAL · 66' Kufstein 2–1 SVG Reichenau
- 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 66' Kufstein win: 37% at kick-off, 79% now
- 66′THE CALL SWINGS · 66' Kufstein win is now our likeliest result at 79% (was Draw 57%)
- 68′We said Kufstein at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 2–1 · 80–17–3
- 75′We said Kufstein at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–14–2
- 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' Kufstein win: 37% at kick-off, 87% now
- 81′We said Kufstein at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–10–1
- 88′We said Kufstein at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
- 89′GOAL DISALLOWED · 89' Kufstein
- 89′GOAL DISALLOWED · 89' SVG Reichenau
- 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' Kufstein win: 37% at kick-off, 5% now
- 89′THE CALL SWINGS · 89' Draw is now our likeliest result at 91% (was Kufstein win 95%)
- 89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Kufstein 2–1 SVG Reichenau
- 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 89' Kufstein win: 37% at kick-off, 95% now
- 89′THE CALL SWINGS · 89' Kufstein win is now our likeliest result at 95% (was Draw 91%)
- 91′We said Kufstein at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
- 91′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.5 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 100–0–0
- 91′⚽ GOAL · 90+1' Kufstein 3–1 SVG Reichenau
- 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+1' Kufstein win: 37% at kick-off, over 99% now
- FTFULL TIME Kufstein 3–1 SVG Reichenau
- FTKufstein 3–1 SVG Reichenau · Kufstein win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Close to call, with Kufstein just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Kufstein 37%, draw 27%, SVG Reichenau 35%. Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 51%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
Kufstein win37%
SVG Reichenau win35%Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 18:00
RoundWest · matchday 13
Match timeline
All events
KufsteinMIN
SVG ReichenauEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Kufstein
SVG Reichenau
Last match: 17 Oct · the Austrian Regionalliga - West
Last match: 18 Oct · the Austrian Regionalliga - West
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Kufstein a 37% chance to win. The market has them at 38%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.3–1.2.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 39%, 37% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 38% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kufstein win | 37% | 38% | −1 |
| Draw | 27% | 25% | +2 |
| SVG Reichenau win | 35% | 36% | −1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 60% | −14 |
| Both teams to score | 51% | 63% | −12 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | 81% | −9 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 40% | −15 |
| Kufstein or draw | 65% | 64% | +1 |
| Kufstein clean sheet | 29% | – | – |
| SVG Reichenau clean sheet | 28% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Regionalliga - West this season · since 11 Sept
KUFSTEIN
SVG REICHENAU
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Imst | 12 | +17 | 28 |
| 2 | Schwaz | 12 | +11 | 28 |
| 3 | Hohenems | 12 | +14 | 27 |
| 4 | Dornbirn | 12 | +14 | 24 |
| 5 | Kitzbühel | 12 | +9 | 22 |
| 6 | Röthis | 12 | +3 | 21 |
| 7 | Swarovski Tirol II | 12 | +14 | 20 |
| 8 | SK St. Johann | 12 | +4 | 18 |
| 9 | Fügen | 12 | −6 | 16 |
| 10 | SVG Reichenau | 12 | −3 | 15 |
| 11 | Lauterach | 12 | −5 | 12 |
| 12 | Kufstein | 12 | −1 | 11 |
| 13 | Lochau | 12 | −13 | 11 |
| 14 | Lustenau | 12 | −20 | 7 |
| 15 | Rheindorf Altach II | 12 | −16 | 6 |
| 16 | Wolfurt | 12 | −22 | 4 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Imst
Schwaz
Hohenems
Dornbirn
Kitzbühel
Röthis
Swarovski Tirol II
SK St. Johann
Fügen
Lauterach
Lochau
Lustenau
Rheindorf Altach II
Wolfurt