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Imst v Lustenau

Imst

7–2Full time

Lustenau

Regionalliga - West · SAT 10 OCT · VELLY Arena Imst Tirol

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 18:06

Imst 7–2 Lustenau IMST WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT3–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Imst win~~81%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.052

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Match events aren’t available for this match.

Pre-match prediction

Imst win81%

Draw12%

Lustenau win7%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 15:00

Venue · VELLY Arena Imst Tirol

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · imst winPublished 10 Oct 17:54

81% The market–

Us81%

We make Imst a 81% chance to win. The model expects 3.2–0.9, and 3–0 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Imst win	81%	–	–
Draw	12%	–	–
Lustenau win	7%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	76%	–	–
Both teams to score	55%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	91%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	57%	–	–
Imst or draw	93%	–	–
Imst clean sheet	43%	–	–
Lustenau clean sheet	5%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 3–0 at 9.2%

0123450 2.0 1 5.6 5.0 2.1 2 8.8 7.5 3.3 3 9.2 7.8 3.4 4 7.3 6.2 2.7 5 4.7 4.0

under 2% 5% 12%+Imst down, Lustenau across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,073 Regionalliga - West matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Regionalliga - West matches have gone over 2.5 in 71.2% of games this season, across 80 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 5.50 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Imst at home: 2.17 scored, 0.17 conceded a game (last 6). Lustenau away: 0.83 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

3.19 goals for Imst, 0.86 for Lustenau. Most likely score 3–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~5.50

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~IMS 4–1 LUS · LUS 3–3 IMS

Form · last six in Regionalliga - West

IMST

WLDLWW2–1 · 2–3 · 0–0 · 0–2 · 3–0 · 2–1

LUSTENAU

LDLWDD1–4 · 0–0 · 1–3 · 3–2 · 1–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Hohenems	10	+18	27
2	Imst	10	+10	22
3	Schwaz	10	+7	22
4	Kitzbühel	10	+11	21
5	Dornbirn	10	+13	20
6	SK St. Johann	10	+7	18
7	Swarovski Tirol II	10	+10	16
8	Röthis	10	+1	15
9	Fügen	10	−6	13
10	SVG Reichenau	10	−8	9
11	Lochau	10	−13	8
12	Kufstein	10	−5	7
13	Wolfurt	10	−12	7
14	Lustenau	10	−14	7
15	Lauterach	10	−9	6
16	Rheindorf Altach II	10	−10	6