Imst v Fügen prediction · Regionalliga

Full timeGraded 23 Oct 21:06

Imst 2–1 Fügen IMST WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG3–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Imst win~~80%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.063

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Imst are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Imst 80%, draw 12%, Fügen 9%. Over 2.5 goals 81%, both teams to score 63%.

The AI’s read on Imst v FügenBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Imst win80%

Draw12%

Fügen win9%

Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 18:00

RoundWest · matchday 13

VenueVELLY Arena Imst Tirol

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Imst

Fügen

5Days since last match6

Last match: 18 Oct · the Austrian Regionalliga - West

Last match: 17 Oct · the Austrian Regionalliga - West

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · imst winFirst published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

80% The market–

Us80%

We make Imst an 80% chance to win. The model expects 3.4–1.1, and 3–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Imst v Fügen~~3.40 – 1.09

~~Form · last six in Regionalliga - West this season · since 11 Sept~~W4 D1 L1 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 28 v 16~~1 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Imst win	80%	–	–
Draw	12%	–	–
Fügen win	9%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	81%	–	–
Both teams to score	63%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	93%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	65%	–	–
Imst or draw	91%	–	–
Imst clean sheet	34%	–	–
Fügen clean sheet	4%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 3–1 at 7.7%

0123450 1 4.0 4.5 2.4 2 6.6 7.0 3.8 3 7.2 7.7 4.2 4 6.1 6.4 3.5 5 4.2 4.4 2.4

under 2% 5% 12%+Imst down, Fügen across0–5 goals a side shown (86.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,089 Regionalliga - West matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Regionalliga - West matches have gone over 2.5 in 74.0% of games this season, across 96 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2020/21 in every competition we cover, 3.83 goals a meeting; 3 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Imst at home: 2.83 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Fügen away: 1.67 scored, 3.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

3.40 goals for Imst, 1.09 for Fügen. Most likely score 3–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2020/21

~~Goals a meeting~~3.83

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 6

~~Both scored~~3 of 6

~~Last meetings~~IMS 2–5 FUG · FUG 1–0 IMS · FUG 0–0 IMS · IMS 7–2 FUG

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Regionalliga - West this season · since 11 Sept

IMST

DLWWWW0–0 · 0–2 · 3–0 · 2–1 · 7–2 · 2–0

FÜGEN

DLWLLW2–2 · 0–6 · 6–1 · 1–5 · 1–2 · 4–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Imst	12	+17	28
2	Schwaz	12	+11	28
3	Hohenems	12	+14	27
4	Dornbirn	12	+14	24
5	Kitzbühel	12	+9	22
6	Röthis	12	+3	21
7	Swarovski Tirol II	12	+14	20
8	SK St. Johann	12	+4	18
9	Fügen	12	−6	16
10	SVG Reichenau	12	−3	15
11	Lauterach	12	−5	12
12	Kufstein	12	−1	11
13	Lochau	12	−13	11
14	Lustenau	12	−20	7
15	Rheindorf Altach II	12	−16	6
16	Wolfurt	12	−22	4