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Model 1.2

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Dornbirn v Rheindorf Altach II

Dornbirn
0–2Full time
Rheindorf Altach II

Regionalliga - West · FRI 23 OCT · Stadion Birkenwiese

Full timeGraded 23 Oct 20:31
Dornbirn 0–2 Rheindorf Altach II DORNBIRN WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Dornbirn win74%
The market said74%
Brier score, this match · lower is better1.378
The market’s Brier score1.357

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay13 notes · 21 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Dornbirn win at 74%.
  2. 1′KICK-OFF Dornbirn v Rheindorf Altach II
  3. 2′Little has changed for our model: Dornbirn 74% before kick-off, 74% now. 0–0 · 74–15–11
  4. 4′We said Dornbirn at 74%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 53%. 0–1 · 53–21–26
  5. 4′⚽ GOAL · 4' Dornbirn 0–1 Rheindorf Altach II
  6. 4′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 4' Dornbirn win: 74% at kick-off, 53% now
  7. 12′We said Dornbirn at 74%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 0–1 · 49–22–28
  8. 22′We said Dornbirn at 74%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 0–1 · 44–24–31
  9. 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 22' Dornbirn win: 74% at kick-off, 44% now
  10. 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.7 we expected. 0–1 · 40–26–34
  11. 31′We said Dornbirn at 74%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–1 · 39–26–34
  12. 39′We said Dornbirn at 74%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–1 · 34–28–38
  13. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Dornbirn win: 74% at kick-off, 34% now
  14. 41′THE CALL SWINGS · 41' Rheindorf Altach II win is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Dornbirn win 36%)
  15. 45′HALF-TIME Dornbirn 0–1 Rheindorf Altach II
  16. 46′SECOND HALF Dornbirn 0–1 Rheindorf Altach II
  17. 47′We said Dornbirn at 74%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–1 · 29–29–42
  18. 53′We said Dornbirn at 74%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–30–45
  19. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Dornbirn win: 74% at kick-off, 24% now
  20. 60′We said Dornbirn at 74%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–30–51
  21. 64′GOAL DISALLOWED · 64' Rheindorf Altach II
  22. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 64' Dornbirn win: 74% at kick-off, 46% now
  23. 65′⚽ GOAL · 65' Dornbirn 0–1 Rheindorf Altach II
  24. 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 65' Dornbirn win: 74% at kick-off, 15% now
  25. 66′We said Dornbirn at 74%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–30–56
  26. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Dornbirn win: 74% at kick-off, 14% now
  27. 72′We said Dornbirn at 74%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–28–63
  28. 74′We said Dornbirn at 74%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 1%. 0–2 · 1–6–92
  29. 74′⚽ GOAL · 74' Dornbirn 0–2 Rheindorf Altach II
  30. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Dornbirn win: 74% at kick-off, 1% now
  31. 92′GOAL DISALLOWED · 90+2' Rheindorf Altach II
  32. 92′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+2' Draw is now our likeliest result at 92% (was Rheindorf Altach II win over 99%)
  33. 92′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Dornbirn 0–2 Rheindorf Altach II
  34. 92′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+2' Rheindorf Altach II win is now our likeliest result at over 99% (was Draw 92%)
  35. FTFULL TIME Dornbirn 0–2 Rheindorf Altach II
  36. FTDornbirn 0–2 Rheindorf Altach II · Dornbirn win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Dornbirn are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Dornbirn 74%, draw 15%, Rheindorf Altach II 11%. Over 2.5 goals 71%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Dornbirn v Rheindorf Altach IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Dornbirn win74%
Draw15%
Rheindorf Altach II win11%

Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 18:00

RoundWest · matchday 13

VenueStadion Birkenwiese

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Dornbirn

Rheindorf Altach II

6Days since last match5

Last match: 17 Oct · the Austrian Regionalliga - West

Last match: 18 Oct · the Austrian Regionalliga - West

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
4Dornbirn12+1424
15Rheindorf Altach II12−166

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · dornbirn winFirst published 17 Oct 00:01 · updated 23 Oct 04:09 · locked at kick-off
74% The market74%
Us74%
Market74%

We make Dornbirn a 74% chance to win. The market has them at 74%. We are level with the market. The model expects 2.8–1.0.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Dornbirn v Rheindorf Altach II2.78 – 0.95
Form · last six in Regionalliga - West this season · since 12 SeptW2 D2 L2 · W0 D1 L5
Table places · points 24 v 64 v 15
The market · Dornbirn win74% · ours 74%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
70%75%80% 17 OCT 00:0123 OCT 17:36
Our probability · Dornbirn win The market, margin stripped

Published at 76%, 74% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 74% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Dornbirn win74%74%0
Draw15%15%0
Rheindorf Altach II win11%11%0
Over 2.5 goals71%72%−1
Both teams to score57%58%−1
Over 1.5 goals88%86%+2
Over 3.5 goals51%52%−1
Dornbirn or draw89%89%0
Dornbirn clean sheet39%––
Rheindorf Altach II clean sheet7%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 9.2%
0123450 2.8 2.2 1 6.7 6.6 3.1 2 9.2 8.6 4.1 3 8.4 7.8 3.7 4 5.9 5.4 2.6 5 3.4 3.1
under 2% 5% 12%+Dornbirn down, Rheindorf Altach II across0–5 goals a side shown (92.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting2.25
Over 2.51 of 4
Both scored2 of 4
Last meetingsDOR 2–0 RHE · RHE 0–2 DOR · RHE 1–1 DOR · DOR 1–2 RHE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Regionalliga - West this season · since 12 Sept

DORNBIRN

DWLLWD2–2 · 1–0 · 0–3 · 0–2 · 2–1 · 0–0

RHEINDORF ALTACH II

DLLLLL1–1 · 2–4 · 0–4 · 1–2 · 0–4 · 0–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Imst12+1728
2Schwaz12+1128
3Hohenems12+1427
4Dornbirn12+1424
5Kitzbühel12+922
6Röthis12+321
7Swarovski Tirol II12+1420
8SK St. Johann12+418
9Fügen12−616
10SVG Reichenau12−315
11Lauterach12−512
12Kufstein12−111
13Lochau12−1311
14Lustenau12−207
15Rheindorf Altach II12−166
16Wolfurt12−224

The competition's standings before kick-off.