Wienerberg v Leobendorf

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Leobendorf win at 59%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Leobendorf was 59% before kick-off and our model makes it 59% now. 0–0 · 20–21–59
3. 1′KICK-OFF Wienerberg v Leobendorf
4. 19′We published Leobendorf at 59%. Our model now makes it 80%. 0–1 · 6–14–80
5. 19′⚽ GOAL · 19' Wienerberg 0–1 Leobendorf
6. 19′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 19' Leobendorf win: 59% at kick-off, 80% now
7. 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.1 we expected. 0–1 · 6–14–80
8. 39′We published Leobendorf at 59%. Our model now makes it 95%. 0–2 · 1–4–95
9. 39′⚽ GOAL · 39' Wienerberg 0–2 Leobendorf
10. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' Leobendorf win: 59% at kick-off, 95% now
11. 43′We said Leobendorf at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 47%. 0–0 · 19–34–47 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
12. 45′HALF-TIME Wienerberg 0–2 Leobendorf
13. 46′SECOND HALF Wienerberg 0–2 Leobendorf
14. 52′⚽ GOAL · 52' Wienerberg 0–3 Leobendorf
15. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 52' Leobendorf win: 59% at kick-off, 99% now
16. 53′We published Leobendorf at 59%. Our model now makes it 99%. 0–3 · 0–0–99
17. 54′We published Leobendorf at 59%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 0–3 · 0–0–100
18. 72′We said Leobendorf at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 28%. 0–0 · 13–59–28
19. 73′We expected about 3.1 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 13–60–27
20. 75′GOAL DISALLOWED · 75' Leobendorf
21. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Leobendorf win: 59% at kick-off, 25% now
22. 75′THE CALL SWINGS · 75' Draw is now our likeliest result at 64% (was Leobendorf win 25%)
23. 76′We said Leobendorf at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 23%. 0–0 · 11–65–23
24. 76′⚽ GOAL · 76' Wienerberg 0–3 Leobendorf
25. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 76' Leobendorf win: 59% at kick-off, over 99% now
26. 76′THE CALL SWINGS · 76' Leobendorf win is now our likeliest result at over 99% (was Draw under 1%)
27. 77′Goals are coming at about the 3.1 we expected. 0–3 · 0–0–100
28. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Leobendorf win: 59% at kick-off, over 99% now
29. 86′We said Leobendorf at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 10%. 0–0 · 5–85–10
30. 88′We said Leobendorf at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 8%. 0–0 · 4–88–8
31. FTFULL TIME Wienerberg 0–3 Leobendorf
32. FTWienerberg 0–3 Leobendorf · Leobendorf win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.