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Wienerberg v Gloggnitz

Wienerberg

0–0Full time

Gloggnitz

Regionalliga - Ost · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 17:33

Wienerberg 0–0 Gloggnitz GLOGGNITZ WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGOVER 3.5 · WRONG1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Gloggnitz win~~59%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.057

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay1 note · 3 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Gloggnitz win at 59%.
15′Little has changed for our model: Gloggnitz 59% before kick-off, 56% now. 0–0 · 22–21–56
45′HALF-TIME Wienerberg 0–0 Gloggnitz
46′SECOND HALF Wienerberg 0–0 Gloggnitz
FTFULL TIME Wienerberg 0–0 Gloggnitz
FTWienerberg 0–0 Gloggnitz · Gloggnitz win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Over 3.5: wrong · 1–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Wienerberg win23%

Draw19%

Gloggnitz win59%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 15:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · gloggnitz winPublished 10 Oct 15:19

59% The market–

Us59%

We make Gloggnitz a 59% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–2.4, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Wienerberg win	23%	–	–
Draw	19%	–	–
Gloggnitz win	59%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	74%	–	–
Both teams to score	69%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	89%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	54%	–	–
Wienerberg or draw	41%	–	–
Wienerberg clean sheet	9%	–	–
Gloggnitz clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 8.6%

0123450 2.2 5.2 6.1 4.9 3.0 1 3.2 7.2 8.6 6.8 4.2 2.12 2.3 5.2 6.1 4.9 3.0 3 2.6 3.0 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Wienerberg down, Gloggnitz across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,254 Regionalliga - Ost matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Regionalliga - Ost matches have gone over 2.5 in 54.8% of games this season, across 84 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Wienerberg at home: 0.80 scored, 4.00 conceded a game (last 5). Gloggnitz away: 0.83 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.46 goals for Wienerberg, 2.43 for Gloggnitz. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Regionalliga - Ost

WIENERBERG

LLLLLL0–2 · 0–3 · 0–6 · 0–3 · 1–3 · 0–2

GLOGGNITZ

DLDLLW1–1 · 2–3 · 1–1 · 1–3 · 0–4 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf	11	+20	25
2	Oberwart	11	+8	22
3	Wiener SC	11	+13	20
4	Traiskirchen	11	+3	18
5	Scheiblingkirchen	10	0	18
6	Wiener Viktoria	11	+5	17
7	Krems / Rehberg	11	+3	17
8	Fach-Donaufeld	10	+3	17
9	Parndorf	11	+1	15
10	Mattersburg SV 2020	11	−5	13
11	SV Horn	10	−1	11
12	Donau	10	−3	11
13	Leobendorf	10	−4	11
14	Gloggnitz	10	−7	11
15	Favoritner AC	10	−6	10
16	Wienerberg	10	−30	0