Wiener SC v Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf prediction · Regionalliga

Full timeGraded 16 Oct 21:01

Wiener SC 2–0 Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf MANNSDORF-GROSSENZERSDORF WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf win~~42%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.653

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay7 notes · 10 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf win at 42%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf 42% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 35–23–42
1′KICK-OFF Wiener SC v Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf
14′We said Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–0 · 60–21–19
14′⚽ GOAL · 14' Wiener SC 1–0 Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf
14′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 14' Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf win: 42% at kick-off, 19% now
14′THE CALL SWINGS · 14' Wiener SC win is now our likeliest result at 60% (was Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf win 19%)
30′The goal count is tracking the 3.2 we expected. 1–0 · 62–22–16
35′We said Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 63–23–14
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
45′HALF-TIME Wiener SC 1–0 Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf
46′SECOND HALF Wiener SC 1–0 Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf
53′We said Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–0 · 68–23–9
65′We said Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 1%. 2–0 · 94–5–1
65′⚽ GOAL · 65' Wiener SC 2–0 Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf
65′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 65' Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf win: 42% at kick-off, 1% now
88′Goalless on 88′ when we expected about 3.2 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 6–87–7
FTFULL TIME Wiener SC 2–0 Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf
FTWiener SC 2–0 Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf · Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Wiener SC 35%, draw 23%, Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf 42%. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 62%.

The AI’s read on Wiener SC v Mannsdorf-GroßenzersdorfBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

Wiener SC win35%

Draw23%

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf win42%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 18:30

RoundOst · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Wiener SC

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf

7Days since last match7

Last match: 9 Oct · Regionalliga - Ost

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · mannsdorf-großenzersdorf winFirst published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

42% The market–

Us42%

We make Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Wiener SC v Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf~~1.51 – 1.68

~~Form · last six in Regionalliga - Ost this season · since 4 Sept~~W2 D2 L2 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 20 v 25~~3 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Wiener SC win	35%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf win	42%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	61%	–	–
Both teams to score	62%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	82%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	40%	–	–
Wiener SC or draw	58%	–	–
Wiener SC clean sheet	19%	–	–
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.2%

0123450 4.3 7.1 5.8 3.3 1 6.4 10.2 8.5 4.8 2.1 2 4.8 7.7 6.3 3.6 3 2.4 3.9 3.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Wiener SC down, Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf across0–5 goals a side shown (98.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,258 Regionalliga - Ost matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Regionalliga - Ost matches have gone over 2.5 in 54.5% of games this season, across 88 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.70 goals a meeting; 5 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Wiener SC at home: 2.17 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf away: 3.33 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.51 goals for Wiener SC, 1.68 for Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.70

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 10

~~Both scored~~8 of 10

~~Last meetings~~WIE 2–2 MAN · MAN 1–1 WIE · MAN 0–0 WIE · WIE 2–2 MAN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Regionalliga - Ost this season · since 4 Sept

WIENER SC

DWLWLD0–0 · 6–0 · 1–2 · 3–2 · 3–4 · 1–1

MANNSDORF-GROSSENZERSDORF

WWWLDW3–2 · 3–1 · 3–1 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 4–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf	11	+20	25
2	Oberwart	11	+8	22
3	Wiener SC	11	+13	20
4	Scheiblingkirchen	11	0	19
5	Traiskirchen	11	+3	18
6	Wiener Viktoria	11	+5	17
7	Krems / Rehberg	11	+3	17
8	Fach-Donaufeld	11	0	17
9	Parndorf	11	+1	15
10	Leobendorf	11	−1	14
11	Mattersburg SV 2020	11	−5	13
12	Favoritner AC	11	−5	13
13	Donau	11	−3	12
14	Gloggnitz	11	−7	12
15	SV Horn	11	−2	11
16	Wienerberg	11	−30	1