Traiskirchen v Mattersburg SV 2020

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Traiskirchen win at 55%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Traiskirchen was 55% before kick-off and our model makes it 55% now. 0–0 · 55–20–24
3. 1′KICK-OFF Traiskirchen v Mattersburg SV 2020
4. 34′We said Traiskirchen at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 23%. 0–1 · 23–25–52
5. 34′Goals are coming at about the 3.5 we expected. 0–1 · 23–25–52
6. 34′⚽ GOAL · 34' Traiskirchen 0–1 Mattersburg SV 2020
7. 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 34' Traiskirchen win: 55% at kick-off, 23% now
8. 34′THE CALL SWINGS · 34' Mattersburg SV 2020 win is now our likeliest result at 52% (was Traiskirchen win 48%)
9. 43′We said Traiskirchen at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–26–55
10. 44′GOAL DISALLOWED · 44' Mattersburg SV 2020
11. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 44' Traiskirchen win: 55% at kick-off, 45% now
12. 44′THE CALL SWINGS · 44' Traiskirchen win is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Mattersburg SV 2020 win 55%)
13. 45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Traiskirchen 0–1 Mattersburg SV 2020
14. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Traiskirchen win: 55% at kick-off, 19% now
15. 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Mattersburg SV 2020 win is now our likeliest result at 55% (was Traiskirchen win 45%)
16. 45′HALF-TIME Traiskirchen 0–1 Mattersburg SV 2020
17. 46′SECOND HALF Traiskirchen 0–1 Mattersburg SV 2020
18. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Traiskirchen win: 55% at kick-off, 15% now
19. 54′We said Traiskirchen at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 41%. 1–1 · 41–37–22
20. 54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Traiskirchen 1–1 Mattersburg SV 2020
21. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 54' Traiskirchen win: 55% at kick-off, 41% now
22. 57′We said Traiskirchen at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–39–21
23. 58′We published Traiskirchen at 55%. Our model now makes it 79%. 2–1 · 79–17–5
24. 58′GOAL DISALLOWED · 58' Traiskirchen
25. 58′GOAL DISALLOWED · 58' Mattersburg SV 2020
26. 58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Traiskirchen 2–1 Mattersburg SV 2020
27. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 58' Traiskirchen win: 55% at kick-off, 79% now
28. 58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Traiskirchen win is now our likeliest result at 79% (was Mattersburg SV 2020 win 59%)
29. 61′We published Traiskirchen at 55%. Our model now makes it 80%. 2–1 · 80–16–4
30. 73′We said Traiskirchen at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 27%. 0–0 · 27–57–16 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
31. 74′We published Traiskirchen at 55%. Our model now makes it 85%. 2–1 · 85–14–2
32. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' Traiskirchen win: 55% at kick-off, 85% now
33. 81′We published Traiskirchen at 55%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–1 · 90–10–1
34. 88′We published Traiskirchen at 55%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
35. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 88' Traiskirchen win: 55% at kick-off, 95% now
36. FTFULL TIME Traiskirchen 2–1 Mattersburg SV 2020
37. FTTraiskirchen 2–1 Mattersburg SV 2020 · Traiskirchen win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.