Pitchside Lab
Model 1.1
Back

Home › Football › Regionalliga - Ost › Parndorf v Wiener SC

Parndorf v Wiener SC

Parndorf
1–1Full time
Wiener SC

Regionalliga - Ost · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 20:30
Parndorf 1–1 Wiener SC PARNDORF WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said Parndorf win45%
The market said33%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.898
The market’s Brier score0.864

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 7 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Parndorf win at 45%.
  2. 28′Little has changed for our model: Parndorf 45% before kick-off, 41% now. 0–0 · 41–29–30
  3. 31′⚽ GOAL · 31' Parndorf 1–0 Wiener SC
  4. 41′We said Parndorf at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 72%. 1–0 · 72–20–9
  5. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' Parndorf win: 45% at kick-off, 72% now
  6. 45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Parndorf 1–1 Wiener SC
  7. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Parndorf win: 45% at kick-off, 37% now
  8. 45′HALF-TIME Parndorf 1–1 Wiener SC
  9. 46′SECOND HALF Parndorf 1–1 Wiener SC
  10. 60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Parndorf 1–1 Wiener SC
  11. FTParndorf 1–1 Wiener SC · Parndorf win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Parndorf win45%
Draw23%
Wiener SC win32%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 18:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · parndorf winPublished 9 Oct 18:04
45% The market33%
Us45%
Market33%

We make Parndorf a 45% chance to win. The market has them at 33%. We are 12 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–1.4.

How the number movedSince we published
30%35%40%45%50% 9 OCT 06:179 OCT 15:07
Our probability · parndorf win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 38% to 33% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Parndorf win45%33%+12
Draw23%24%−1
Wiener SC win32%43%−11
Over 2.5 goals60%62%−2
Both teams to score61%64%−3
Over 1.5 goals81%82%0
Over 3.5 goals38%42%−3
Parndorf or draw68%57%+11
Parndorf clean sheet25%––
Wiener SC clean sheet18%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.3%
0123450 4.5 6.3 4.4 2.1 1 7.7 10.3 7.3 3.5 2 6.5 8.8 6.2 2.9 3 3.7 5.1 3.6 4 2.3 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Parndorf down, Wiener SC across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025
Goals a meeting3.50
Over 2.51 of 2
Both scored1 of 2
Last meetingsWIE 4–2 PAR · PAR 1–0 WIE

Form · last six in Regionalliga - Ost

PARNDORF

LWLLWL1–4 · 1–0 · 1–3 · 1–3 · 1–0 · 0–1

WIENER SC

LDWLWL1–2 · 0–0 · 6–0 · 1–2 · 3–2 · 3–4

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf10+1622
2Oberwart10+821
3Wiener SC10+1319
4Scheiblingkirchen10018
5Wiener Viktoria10+617
6Traiskirchen10+317
7Fach-Donaufeld10+317
8Krems / Rehberg10+214
9Parndorf10+114
10Mattersburg SV 202010−113
11SV Horn10−111
12Donau10−311
13Leobendorf10−411
14Gloggnitz10−711
15Favoritner AC10−610
16Wienerberg10−300

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.