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Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf v Mattersburg SV 2020

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf

4–0Full time

Mattersburg SV 2020

Regionalliga - Ost · FRI 9 OCT · Aulandstadion Mannsdorf

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 20:30

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf 4–0 Mattersburg SV 2020 MANNSDORF-GROSSENZERSDORF WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf win~~63%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.209

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 8 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf win at 63%.
27′We published Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf at 63%. Our model now makes it 83%. 1–0 · 83–12–4
27′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 27' Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf win: 63% at kick-off, 83% now
39′Goals are coming at about the 3.0 we expected. 1–0 · 83–13–4
45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf 1–0 Mattersburg SV 2020
45′HALF-TIME Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf 0–0 Mattersburg SV 2020
46′SECOND HALF Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf 1–0 Mattersburg SV 2020
58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf 1–0 Mattersburg SV 2020
60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf 2–0 Mattersburg SV 2020
74′⚽ GOAL · 74' Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf 3–0 Mattersburg SV 2020
88′⚽ GOAL · 88' Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf 4–0 Mattersburg SV 2020
FTMannsdorf-Großenzersdorf 4–0 Mattersburg SV 2020 · Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf win63%

Draw20%

Mattersburg SV 2020 win17%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 18:00

Venue · Aulandstadion Mannsdorf

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · mannsdorf-großenzersdorf winPublished 9 Oct 18:04

63% The market–

Us63%

We make Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf a 63% chance to win. The model expects 2.1–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf win	63%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Mattersburg SV 2020 win	17%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	57%	–	–
Both teams to score	52%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	79%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	35%	–	–
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf or draw	83%	–	–
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf clean sheet	40%	–	–
Mattersburg SV 2020 clean sheet	14%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 10.6%

0123450 5.4 5.1 2.3 1 10.6 9.5 4.5 2 10.5 9.5 4.4 3 7.1 6.4 3.0 4 3.8 3.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf down, Mattersburg SV 2020 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,250 Regionalliga - Ost matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Regionalliga - Ost matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.2% of games this season, across 80 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf at home: 1.67 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Mattersburg SV 2020 away: 1.00 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

2.05 goals for Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf, 0.93 for Mattersburg SV 2020. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Regionalliga - Ost

MANNSDORF-GROSSENZERSDORF

WWWWLD4–1 · 3–2 · 3–1 · 3–1 · 0–1 · 1–1

MATTERSBURG SV 2020

WWLDLW2–0 · 3–0 · 1–2 · 2–2 · 0–3 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf	10	+16	22
2	Oberwart	10	+8	21
3	Wiener SC	10	+13	19
4	Scheiblingkirchen	10	0	18
5	Wiener Viktoria	10	+6	17
6	Traiskirchen	10	+3	17
7	Fach-Donaufeld	10	+3	17
8	Krems / Rehberg	10	+2	14
9	Parndorf	10	+1	14
10	Mattersburg SV 2020	10	−1	13
11	SV Horn	10	−1	11
12	Donau	10	−3	11
13	Leobendorf	10	−4	11
14	Gloggnitz	10	−7	11
15	Favoritner AC	10	−6	10
16	Wienerberg	10	−30	0

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match updates

Timeline

Pre-match prediction

Match information

The game so far

Match statistics

Players on the pitch

Line-ups

Match statistics

Line-ups

Head to head

Form · last six in Regionalliga - Ost

The table