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Krems / Rehberg v Wiener Viktoria

Krems / Rehberg
1–0Full time
Wiener Viktoria

Regionalliga - Ost · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 21:00
Krems / Rehberg 1–0 Wiener Viktoria KREMS / REHBERG WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Krems / Rehberg win54%
The market said50%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.318
The market’s Brier score0.377

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 28 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Krems / Rehberg win at 54%.
  2. 6′Much as we predicted: Krems / Rehberg was 54% before kick-off and our model makes it 53% now. 0–0 · 53–24–23
  3. 10′We published Krems / Rehberg at 54%. Our model now makes it 77%. 1–0 · 77–15–8
  4. 10′⚽ GOAL · 10' Krems / Rehberg 1–0 Wiener Viktoria
  5. 10′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 10' Krems / Rehberg win: 54% at kick-off, 77% now
  6. 13′⚽ GOAL · 13' Krems / Rehberg 1–0 Wiener Viktoria
  7. 14′⚽ GOAL · 14' Krems / Rehberg 1–0 Wiener Viktoria
  8. 15′⚽ GOAL · 15' Krems / Rehberg 1–0 Wiener Viktoria
  9. 16′⚽ GOAL · 16' Krems / Rehberg 1–0 Wiener Viktoria
  10. 17′⚽ GOAL · 17' Krems / Rehberg 1–0 Wiener Viktoria
  11. 18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Krems / Rehberg 1–0 Wiener Viktoria
  12. 19′⚽ GOAL · 19' Krems / Rehberg 1–0 Wiener Viktoria
  13. 21′⚽ GOAL · 21' Krems / Rehberg 1–0 Wiener Viktoria
  14. 22′⚽ GOAL · 22' Krems / Rehberg 1–0 Wiener Viktoria
  15. 23′⚽ GOAL · 23' Krems / Rehberg 1–0 Wiener Viktoria
  16. 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 25' Krems / Rehberg win: 54% at kick-off, 49% now
  17. 26′⚽ GOAL · 26' Krems / Rehberg 1–0 Wiener Viktoria
  18. 27′⚽ GOAL · 27' Krems / Rehberg 1–0 Wiener Viktoria
  19. 31′Goals are coming at about the 2.9 we expected. 1–0 · 78–16–6
  20. 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 31' Krems / Rehberg win: 54% at kick-off, 78% now
  21. 43′⚽ GOAL · 43' Krems / Rehberg 1–0 Wiener Viktoria
  22. 45′HALF-TIME Krems / Rehberg 1–0 Wiener Viktoria
  23. 46′SECOND HALF Krems / Rehberg 1–0 Wiener Viktoria
  24. 79′⚽ GOAL · 79' Krems / Rehberg 1–0 Wiener Viktoria
  25. 80′⚽ GOAL · 80' Krems / Rehberg 1–0 Wiener Viktoria
  26. 82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Krems / Rehberg 1–0 Wiener Viktoria
  27. 83′⚽ GOAL · 83' Krems / Rehberg 1–0 Wiener Viktoria
  28. 84′⚽ GOAL · 84' Krems / Rehberg 1–0 Wiener Viktoria
  29. 85′⚽ GOAL · 85' Krems / Rehberg 1–0 Wiener Viktoria
  30. 86′⚽ GOAL · 86' Krems / Rehberg 1–0 Wiener Viktoria
  31. 87′⚽ GOAL · 87' Krems / Rehberg 1–0 Wiener Viktoria
  32. 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Krems / Rehberg 1–0 Wiener Viktoria
  33. FTKrems / Rehberg 1–0 Wiener Viktoria · Krems / Rehberg win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Krems / Rehberg win54%
Draw23%
Wiener Viktoria win23%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 18:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · krems / rehberg winPublished 9 Oct 18:34
54% The market50%
Us54%
Market50%

We make Krems / Rehberg a 54% chance to win. The market has them at 50%. We are 4 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.8–1.1.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55% 9 OCT 06:179 OCT 16:04
Our probability · krems / rehberg win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 51% to 50% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Krems / Rehberg win54%50%+4
Draw23%24%−1
Wiener Viktoria win23%26%−3
Over 2.5 goals56%61%−5
Both teams to score55%62%−7
Over 1.5 goals78%81%−3
Over 3.5 goals34%40%−7
Krems / Rehberg or draw77%74%+3
Krems / Rehberg clean sheet34%––
Wiener Viktoria clean sheet17%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.6%
0123450 5.6 6.2 3.3 1 10.0 10.6 5.8 2.2 2 8.8 9.5 5.2 3 5.4 5.8 3.2 4 2.5 2.7 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Krems / Rehberg down, Wiener Viktoria across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2024
Goals a meeting2.33
Over 2.52 of 3
Both scored2 of 3
Last meetingsKRE 1–0 WIE · WIE 2–1 KRE · KRE 2–1 WIE

Form · last six in Regionalliga - Ost

KREMS / REHBERG

LWWLWW0–1 · 3–1 · 3–0 · 0–2 · 3–0 · 4–3

WIENER VIKTORIA

DWWWWD1–1 · 5–1 · 1–0 · 3–0 · 1–0 · 0–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf10+1622
2Oberwart10+821
3Wiener SC10+1319
4Scheiblingkirchen10018
5Wiener Viktoria10+617
6Traiskirchen10+317
7Fach-Donaufeld10+317
8Krems / Rehberg10+214
9Parndorf10+114
10Mattersburg SV 202010−113
11SV Horn10−111
12Donau10−311
13Leobendorf10−411
14Gloggnitz10−711
15Favoritner AC10−610
16Wienerberg10−300

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.